Premier League · resolved market
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6f11822b2cd01317fdacd9a3f26e628f2cdbcc6813e6f121d0b28ba65a50fc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 4,380$2,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.11 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 3,400$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.46 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 44c | 2,606$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.09 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 3c | 2,106$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…18f1backed Over | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 57c | 1,054$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Over | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Over | 40c | 600.25$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 13c | 590$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.3 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 70c | 508.9$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Over | 27c | 458.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.79 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b2…34b5backed Over | 48c | 394.48$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…2715backed Over | 13c | 250$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 20cpaid | +277.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 242.05$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 49c | 202.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 40c | 123.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 41c | 114.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Over | 28c | 87.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Under | 71c | 69.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 26c | 68.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 35c | 57.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 77c | 52.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 41c | 52.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 30c | 45.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -5.1wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 71c | 33.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…dbd6backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 71c | 16.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Chelsea FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Chelsea FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Chelsea FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Chelsea FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Fulham FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Fulham FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Fulham FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Fulham FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Fulham FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.