TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fulham FCof Chelsea FC, Fulham FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,340
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$199,918

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,340 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Fulham FC69c15,227$10,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,745.596,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x298b…f406backed Chelsea FC40c13,612$5,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,473.3330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Fulham FC57c13,459$7,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,787.522339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Chelsea FC31c9,639$2,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,962.076229%18 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Fulham FC69c8,755$6,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,672.654,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Chelsea FC27c6,786$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.227648.7%37 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Fulham FC72c5,540$3,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.022,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Chelsea FC35c5,230$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.8881234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Chelsea FC25c5,193$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.227429.7%22 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.16per pick13cpaid+125%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x6daf…a17cbacked Fulham FC75c5,076$3,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.851553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick68cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Chelsea FC75c4,239$3,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,178.387353.4%39 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Chelsea FC26c3,461$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.071,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0be5…cf29backed Chelsea FC44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Chelsea FC27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Chelsea FC13c2,816$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.767436.5%27 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Fulham FC73c2,500$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6754736.2%17 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8089…f935backed Chelsea FC28c2,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+97.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Fulham FC57c2,316$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.075752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Chelsea FC28c2,202$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.5615740.1%63 W · 94 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe109…8ec3backed Chelsea FC29c2,044$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Chelsea FC24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc05e…24aebacked Chelsea FC38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Chelsea FC32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64013837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Chelsea FC38c1,350$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-37.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Fulham FC67c1,283$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.822231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Chelsea FC27c1,226$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3311827.8%5 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Fulham FC25c1,222$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.522443.8%98 W · 126 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Chelsea FC25c1,190$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.0721440.7%87 W · 127 L+1.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Chelsea FC43c1,147$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4906136.1%22 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Fulham FC71c1,012$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.657847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Chelsea FC25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick18cpaid+100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Chelsea FC27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27016050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Fulham FC73c881.5$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.119735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Chelsea FC63c833.99$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.742941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f36…ba8cbacked Chelsea FC25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-63.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe04c…1c0cbacked Chelsea FC25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5364…4ed0backed Chelsea FC22c755$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc14c…f8afbacked Chelsea FC40c723.13$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0972…f1c4backed Fulham FC71c703.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Fulham FC73c699.66$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.914858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Chelsea FC36c685.49$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.71,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Chelsea FC24c625$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035028.9%101 W · 249 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Chelsea FC36c568.53$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.677350.7%37 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Fulham FC52c563.67$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.0254132.9%178 W · 363 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaaf1…0db6backed Chelsea FC27c509.7$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.132339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fulham FC72c496.11$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.2277236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Chelsea FC45c447.71$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fdd…d385backed Chelsea FC40c447$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.81241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd4…9cf7backed Chelsea FC44c440.13$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ea…73f3backed Chelsea FC20c435.65$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.13540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Chelsea FC24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Chelsea FC25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c0…4aa3backed Chelsea FC20c399.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Chelsea FC27c399.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10817959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Chelsea FC33c374.57$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.046740.3%27 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked Fulham FC68c360.1$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Fulham FC71c310.03$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4112654%68 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Chelsea FC32c295.02$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2112045%54 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe253…b9c7backed Chelsea FC25c281.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.313138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Fulham FC73c272.58$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.64953.1%26 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Fulham FC75c268.13$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Chelsea FC38c263.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037740.3%152 W · 225 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4abb…d858backed Chelsea FC24c263.13$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.15771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Chelsea FC24c250.96$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.664841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b81…613dbacked Fulham FC62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed Chelsea FC25c248$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625332.1%17 W · 36 L-8.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-41.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Chelsea FC25c244.34$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.142171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5233…37c1backed Chelsea FC29c241.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Fulham FC76c224.88$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.147275%54 W · 18 L+15.0wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x575f…9287backed Chelsea FC25c224$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Fulham FC77c222$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0513742.3%58 W · 79 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Chelsea FC25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Fulham FC75c200$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked Fulham FC62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Fulham FC74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae22…8794backed Chelsea FC26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-60.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed Chelsea FC25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506334.9%22 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4cf…0e95backed Fulham FC59c199.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+93.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eb1…944cbacked Chelsea FC24c198.75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-54.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd008…605fbacked Chelsea FC27c192.59$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90f…4148backed Chelsea FC25c182.96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.74633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Fulham FC71c177.43$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.967447.3%35 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Fulham FC62c176.23$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8645249.6%224 W · 228 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f74…97b6backed Chelsea FC24c171.21$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.091910.5%2 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-60.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Chelsea FC28c145.28$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.683339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Fulham FC72c140.4$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.592958.6%17 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Chelsea FC25c137.8$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.457251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…e7e0backed Chelsea FC27c137.04$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Chelsea FC25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307131%22 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ef…41a5backed Chelsea FC25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Chelsea FC36c114.17$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d34…e052backed Chelsea FC28c105.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+31.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Fulham FC74c104.88$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.73452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fulham FC37c104$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.186746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeeb…fe51backed Chelsea FC29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce8…c1f1backed Chelsea FC29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Chelsea FC25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Fulham FC73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276061.7%37 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Fulham FC74c94.59$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.592263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb460…041fbacked Chelsea FC28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254531.1%14 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.