TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x575f…9287

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT3228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Coventry City FC O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$43.99
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)backed Leeds United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$81
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)backed Crystal Palace FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.04
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.75
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.12
Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$83.45
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Will Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$77
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+270.4%+$67.59
Will Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+170.3%+$42.57
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+130.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.58
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$166
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.34
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.33
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$26.94
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+3,355.3%+$961.59
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$37.23
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40.5
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$90.77
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+228.9%+$128.3
US strike on Syria by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-74.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.5
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Scotland (-1.5)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$84.9
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Spread: Italy (-1.5)backed Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Denmark (-1.5)backed Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Gibraltar (-1.5)backed Gibraltar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$97.99
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.13
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22.82
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will PSV win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FC København win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+669.2%+$341.31
All 10 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.73
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.15
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$349.97
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+298.2%+$1,010.88
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+49.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Olympics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will France win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+150%+$27.31
Will Johannes Klaebo (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+212.5%+$47.6
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+177.8%+$32.01
Will Linn Svahn (SWE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Women's Cross Country Sprint Classic at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+108.3%+$11.35
Will Jonna Sundling (SWE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Women's Skiathlon at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Will Ebba Andersson (SWE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Women's Skiathlon at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 7 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick9cpaid+201.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+111%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick13cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+301.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$42.38
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$119
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$56.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Where are you" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$23.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 120-129 tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.