Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x290d29e3b48589f224404e22a399582fc885b37d3b4ea290ad6f1ff1a472aa39

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Brentford FCof Arsenal FC, Brentford FC
Resolved: Feb 12, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $154,599
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $158,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,599 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xac47…d234backed Arsenal FC	34c	67,559$22,970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,970.21	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Brentford FC	67c	37,815$25,523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,292.2	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Arsenal FC	34c	22,723$7,799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,799	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-3.4wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Brentford FC	66c	21,428$14,142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,285.4	255	51.8%132 W · 123 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Brentford FC	66c	17,893$11,813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,079.92	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Brentford FC	67c	13,276$8,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,426.02	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Brentford FC	66c	10,066$6,687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,378.66	212	53.8%114 W · 98 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Brentford FC	69c	10,000$6,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,100	109	62.4%68 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Brentford FC	66c	8,978$5,955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,022.92	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Arsenal FC	32c	8,187$2,591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,590.56	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Arsenal FC	34c	7,832$2,648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,647.57	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Arsenal FC	33c	5,000$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,649.98	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-3.0wins	-0.37per pick	50cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Brentford FC	66c	4,000$2,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,360	183	62.3%114 W · 69 L	+17.5wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Brentford FC	66c	3,491$2,309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,181.97	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked Brentford FC	67c	3,000$2,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$990	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Arsenal FC	34c	2,999$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019.78	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Arsenal FC	35c	2,965$1,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,037.75	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Arsenal FC	31c	2,500$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775	159	52.2%83 W · 76 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Arsenal FC	33c	1,500$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Brentford FC	67c	1,400$938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.98	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Arsenal FC	32c	1,039$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.83	106	36.8%39 W · 67 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Arsenal FC	33c	1,001$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	174	28.2%49 W · 125 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Arsenal FC	17c	999.5$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.91	91	34.1%31 W · 60 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Arsenal FC	33c	912.12$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-6.2wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Arsenal FC	33c	909.09$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Arsenal FC	31c	749$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.19	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Arsenal FC	31c	692.32$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.67	113	24.8%28 W · 85 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb451…37f3backed Brentford FC	68c	623.53$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.53	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.8wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Arsenal FC	32c	615.63$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197	263	44.9%118 W · 145 L	-10.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Arsenal FC	27c	538.3$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.97	91	37.4%34 W · 57 L	-7.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Brentford FC	66c	500$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170	232	58.2%135 W · 97 L	+13.9wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Arsenal FC	34c	500$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	81	34.6%28 W · 53 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Brentford FC	67c	499.94$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.98	97	56.7%55 W · 42 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Brentford FC	66c	400$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.26per pick	49cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Arsenal FC	11c	328$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.08	966	45.4%439 W · 527 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x575f…9287backed Arsenal FC	33c	300$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b7…b46fbacked Arsenal FC	28c	300$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Arsenal FC	34c	294.12$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6250…8707backed Arsenal FC	34c	294.12$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed Arsenal FC	35c	285.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Brentford FC	68c	277.85$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.91	758	50%379 W · 379 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Brentford FC	66c	216.68$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.03	232	50.9%118 W · 114 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c88…d960backed Arsenal FC	33c	212$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.96	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Brentford FC	67c	200$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+8.3wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Brentford FC	67c	198.8$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.28	133	60.9%81 W · 52 L	+9.2wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Arsenal FC	33c	181.82$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	360	36.1%130 W · 230 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd9…b161backed Arsenal FC	34c	180$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.2	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe83…5c7fbacked Arsenal FC	33c	171.3$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.53	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-3.3wins	-0.24per pick	45cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Arsenal FC	30c	168.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.5	89	27%24 W · 65 L	-11.9wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Brentford FC	68c	168.04$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.77	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Brentford FC	67c	165.37$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.12	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Arsenal FC	33c	157$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.81	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Arsenal FC	34c	147.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	50	36%18 W · 32 L	-4.4wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Brentford FC	68c	146.52$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.52	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480a…a156backed Arsenal FC	33c	145.45$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Brentford FC	66c	141.13$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.98	118	50%59 W · 59 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec46…072dbacked Arsenal FC	33c	134.61$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.42	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Brentford FC	66c	125.98$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.05	524	54.2%284 W · 240 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Arsenal FC	33c	121.21$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	351	34.8%122 W · 229 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Arsenal FC	33c	121$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.93	541	28.3%153 W · 388 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba3…8cb2backed Brentford FC	68c	120$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.4	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Arsenal FC	34c	117.94$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	353	28.6%101 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27c2…bf2abacked Brentford FC	67c	110$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.3	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Brentford FC	80c	103.77$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.06	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Brentford FC	66c	100$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	145	53.1%77 W · 68 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf215…fa4cbacked Arsenal FC	34c	89.12$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fa…b505backed Arsenal FC	34c	88.24$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Brentford FC	68c	82.15$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.29	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6258…c997backed Arsenal FC	34c	79.75$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Brentford FC	72c	75.39$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.46	426	58%247 W · 179 L	+24.6wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Brentford FC	73c	74.5$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.46	100	44%44 W · 56 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadb6…d200backed Brentford FC	68c	71.54$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.83	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	67cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Arsenal FC	31c	70$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.7	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-3.4wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Arsenal FC	32c	69.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xede1…8ad7backed Brentford FC	75c	64.38$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.83	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Arsenal FC	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	94	36.2%34 W · 60 L	-7.4wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Arsenal FC	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	181	24.9%45 W · 136 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee2a…729bbacked Arsenal FC	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Arsenal FC	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	408	41.9%171 W · 237 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e31…a753backed Arsenal FC	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	40%4 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8244…3f2cbacked Arsenal FC	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Arsenal FC	33c	60.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.9	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4543…c692backed Arsenal FC	33c	60$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadd4…b42bbacked Arsenal FC	34c	58.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.02	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d06…3b3ebacked Arsenal FC	34c	58.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.26per pick	55cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Arsenal FC	34c	58.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	93	39.8%37 W · 56 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…4377backed Arsenal FC	34c	58.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Arsenal FC	33c	58.67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.36	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2186…53a1backed Arsenal FC	33c	57.34$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.92	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c1d…e1f4backed Arsenal FC	33c	56.38$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.61	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dcd…29dcbacked Arsenal FC	33c	55.31$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cee…8592backed Brentford FC	67c	55$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.15	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Arsenal FC	29c	51.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.03	515	16.1%83 W · 432 L	-49.9wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x09d7…9327backed Arsenal FC	33c	50$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b6c…0b29backed Brentford FC	67c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4984…7aaabacked Brentford FC	68c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Brentford FC	67c	49.99$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	120	47.5%57 W · 63 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Brentford FC	66c	49$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.66	105	54.3%57 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Arsenal FC	26c	47.45$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.39	194	41.8%81 W · 113 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a2…c1a1backed Arsenal FC	33c	45.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)this page
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event