TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$207,272
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$267,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,272 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c40,960$14,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,595.286,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6e0e…4d94backed Over77c25,960$19,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,970.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under2c17,116$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.2521049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b05…ad37backed Over77c12,980$9,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,985.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c7,225$3,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,135.212,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under22c7,070$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.572,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over79c5,108$4,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.92466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over76c5,030$3,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.132,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3060…c709backed Over77c4,260$3,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.821181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick74cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over51c4,101$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.9112649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over77c3,897$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.313360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Over77c3,866$2,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.2618948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Over78c3,846$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.15757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over70c3,571$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.4330645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under23c3,500$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.9938649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over48c3,499$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.6413837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under32c3,304$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.14,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over78c2,757$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.514755.3%26 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Over76c2,500$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6004854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Over57c2,262$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.052548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over47c2,226$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.812433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5849…dcf1backed Under24c2,142$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5141330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b5…3f5ebacked Over78c1,967$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.761573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed Under53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over67c1,875$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.973354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over49c1,738$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.234355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9860728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under22c1,396$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.7852454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Over77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.74156.1%23 W · 18 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-20.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6eb5…d941backed Over65c1,245$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.161850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over63c1,088$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.648158%47 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8374…6768backed Over47c1,080$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.391030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Under37c1,056$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.667548%36 W · 39 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Under42c1,004$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4211040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Under23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2302339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5204318.6%8 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-12.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over76c999.97$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9920448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked Over45c999.94$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.972532%8 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over77c944$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.1238233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under22c855.55$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.2213662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over49c816.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.4327955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over51c799.99$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39526548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6c5…0d72backed Under48c725.91$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.112437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.239067.8%61 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over77c649.55$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.41643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over61c624.59$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.5925225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over68c620.47$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.56666.7%44 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over77c537.57$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6415060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Over76c531.22$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.491241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over58c514.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.1817161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Over78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1105354.7%29 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1bbe…1559backed Over60c496$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1969345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under22c490.33$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8711324.8%28 W · 85 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under41c476.95$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.91,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc53e…fbedbacked Over61c466.11$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.513976.9%30 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf94b…94a7backed Over65c464.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.741457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under26c423.41$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ce…75e0backed Over76c422.27$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.121877.8%14 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over71c421.26$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.268867%59 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over48c420$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed Under34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1361127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-59.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Over77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9210874.1%80 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under23c390$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.72733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed Under52c381.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003450%17 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over49c369.39$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.399946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over55c359.99$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.63868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xede1…8ad7backed Under28c344.17$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.961764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Over77c337.66$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6613552.6%71 W · 64 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over61c326.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.785056%28 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4de1…22a0backed Under9c322.86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.46316.5%2 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c21…6ce6backed Over78c320$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.43650%18 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over37c272.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.684740.4%19 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d20…1f58backed Over64c269.33$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.961450%7 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49a5…b220backed Over76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.161625%4 W · 12 L-5.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-58.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa21f…adddbacked Over77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.745945.8%27 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe86…9b6bbacked Over78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.411478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over47c253.52$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5318444.6%82 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over78c250$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5530059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eca…576bbacked Over64c244.17$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.77988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7700…2d07backed Under43c230.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2df…82a8backed Under23c217.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.92650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf9…1646backed Over78c216.67$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.671241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over48c215.85$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.244738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over66c214.3$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5525550.2%128 W · 127 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over66c212.12$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1220864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over78c209.46$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.087050%35 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58e4…d654backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.084158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over72c201.52$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4715866.5%105 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9912047.5%57 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…9c55backed Over78c197.51$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce3…40f3backed Over78c192.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.311040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over63c187.3$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.34463.6%28 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Over49c179.98$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.197341.1%30 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over56c176.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0555654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over74c175$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.519259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fba…9815backed Under25c173.28$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.041838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdb…75dbbacked Under24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401625%4 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.296446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.