TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7700…2d07

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 63 out of 100; worst Mls at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+189.5%+$47.38
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Granada CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+182.2%+$36.44
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Córdoba CF vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+226%+$33.9
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+900%+$90
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)backed Sevilla FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$28.97
All 19 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kayserispor vs. Trabzonspor: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+121.4%+$30.34
Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
FC Utrecht vs. AZ: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Heracles Almelo vs. PSV: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)backed Estoril Praia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Telstar 1963 vs. NAC Breda: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)backed FC Arouca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Konyaspor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+117.4%+$35.22
Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Konyaspor: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Randers FC vs. Vejle BK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+212%+$63.59
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+115.9%+$28.97
Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Torino FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+400%+$40
SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$26.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Tolima vs. Deportivo Táchira FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
CD Tolima vs. Deportivo Táchira FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Santos FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
CA River Plate vs. CA Banfield: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
AA Estudiantes vs. CA Huracán: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Santos FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Club Guaraní vs. CA Juventud: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.51
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
CA Paranaense vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+117.4%+$35.22
Fluminense FC vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.9wins+0.43per pick46cpaid+96.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+169.8%+$33.95
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+64.2%+$12.84
Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+194.6%+$29.2
Holstein Kiel vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SV Darmstadt 98: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. VfL Bochum: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+132.6%+$53.02
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-43.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+138.1%+$69.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+177.8%+$35.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.