South American Leagues · resolved market
CA River Plate vs. CA Banfield: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x306f7805cddc170c3174dd87db781b0b6a1cd98cb328714110e05462922b8c2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa61b…e7babacked Under | 71c | 1,042$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Under | 77c | 843$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 29c | 668.36$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.44 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 39c | 440.1$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.38 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 439.06$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.11 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 62c | 403.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 68c | 180.21$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 64c | 180.11$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.27 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…4273backed Over | 49c | 134.7$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 39c | 118.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…d490backed Over | 17c | 91.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 38c | 62.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…5f02backed Over | 34c | 59.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…2d07backed Over | 35c | 57.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 53c | 43.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…f66ebacked Under | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Over | 46c | 27.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 26.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bca…24aebacked Over | 57c | 24.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 77c | 14.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA River Plate vs. CA Banfield: O/U 4.5this page
- CA River Plate vs. CA Banfield: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Banfield: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Banfield: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Banfield: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: CA Banfield (-1.5)CA River Plate won
- Spread: CA Banfield (-2.5)CA River Plate won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)CA River Plate won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-2.5)CA Banfield won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.