Other European Leagues · resolved market
Randers FC vs. Vejle BK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabd3eaabf6c959e0e302651348fa16937011cf4fbe482e80eeba64c7c0273ea6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 6,000$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.82 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 3,972$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.34 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Under | 50c | 1,619$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 317.05$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.84 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 49c | 167.68$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.03 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 68.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 49c | 56.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 45c | 56.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…2d07backed Over | 43c | 46.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 50c | 39.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…58fdbacked Under | 50c | 34.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 57c | 28.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 53c | 21.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe73c…dd15backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Randers FC vs. Vejle BK: O/U 2.5this page
- Randers FC vs. Vejle BK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Randers FC vs. Vejle BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Randers FC vs. Vejle BK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.