TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe73c…dd15

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Stocks, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 55 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C or higher on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.21
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or higher on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.48
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.93
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.06
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.12
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or higher on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.44
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+475.7%+$52.36
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.35
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+552.8%+$82.91
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
SSC Napoli vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Martin Odegaard: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.63
Max Dowman: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+125%+$13.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.