South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-02-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6463a06f5b6aea827d92394b6506474cfdcda8f591fb25eb02687305316669d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 56c | 8,343$4,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,647.03 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Yes | 45c | 7,946$3,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,341.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed No | 1c | 1,613$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 1,214$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.23 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 50c | 1,148$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.36 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 1,100$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.48 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 47c | 780$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.9 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 46c | 669$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.46 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 46c | 634$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.39 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yes | 45c | 564$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.43 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 5c | 552.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 50c | 522$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.84 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 54c | 415$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.1 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 54c | 255.49$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.57 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 42c | 239.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.17 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 55c | 230$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 45c | 210.64$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.95 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 23c | 183$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Yes | 44c | 128.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…7e78backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 40c | 119.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Yes | 50c | 109.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 37c | 105$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 53c | 94.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 47c | 83.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 45c | 73.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd364…2778backed Yes | 44c | 67.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…8975backed Yes | 36c | 67.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Yes | 47c | 50.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 55c | 49.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 29c | 45.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 459 | 46.8%215 W · 244 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…e70bbacked Yes | 47c | 42.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…df66backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5e…4c1dbacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 37.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee81…328cbacked Yes | 47c | 35.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 33.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 62c | 33.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Yes | 39c | 32.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 32.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 54c | 26.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed No | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 58c | 20.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…27c4backed No | 64c | 20.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…c0bbbacked No | 58c | 18.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73c…dd15backed No | 57c | 17.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Independiente win on 2026-02-13?this page
- Will CA Independiente vs. CA Lanús end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Lanús win on 2026-02-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.