TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee81…328c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST2634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$34.99
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.66
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.75
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$26.89
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$19.82
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+78.2%+$20.27
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.74
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16.89
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$17.71
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.67
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$17.18
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.11
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+41.4%+$12.68
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$16.28
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.05
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+60%+$12
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+66%+$8.7
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.27
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.94
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+86.2%+$9.74
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.96
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+113.9%+$22.64
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CS Cristal win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Club Santos Laguna vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+65.7%+$10.43
FC Juárez vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.53
CD Guadalajara vs. CF América: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+51.5%+$11.82
CA Tucumán vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+111.5%+$18.65
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.01
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+72.9%+$11.16
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+43.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+46.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+88.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+42%+$6.29
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+72.5%+$10.8
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.04
All 4 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-54.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Polymarket surpasses Robinhood on Similar Web in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+57.3%+$10.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State Spartans vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.