TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, Astralis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$197,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,981 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb726…0664backed Astralis63c20,248$12,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,675.6312649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Astralis52c7,739$4,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,007.272453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb328…4df1backed FUT Esports35c4,300$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,794.992755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Astralis0c3,879$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.641,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Astralis41c3,168$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.3447738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x309b…2c72backed Astralis64c3,107$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FUT Esports42c2,897$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.273,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked FUT Esports49c2,505$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.6583652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed FUT Esports55c2,071$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.8337646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Astralis51c1,974$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.9317538.3%67 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Astralis54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Astralis46c1,700$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.9914847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed FUT Esports48c1,568$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.6555043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Astralis68c1,500$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02058961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis48c1,449$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.862,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c9…dfeabacked Astralis62c1,368$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.461747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked FUT Esports49c1,217$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.393,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed FUT Esports79c1,182$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.5638868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked FUT Esports54c1,171$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.662,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FUT Esports40c1,127$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.343,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed FUT Esports55c1,120$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.891,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed FUT Esports45c1,066$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.5126046.9%122 W · 138 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked FUT Esports49c1,034$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.619038.9%35 W · 55 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcf…056bbacked Astralis1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63ab…f441backed Astralis50c999.99$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.812828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Astralis4c958.78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3511343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x790a…b48fbacked FUT Esports52c952.83$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.835246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd65…64bcbacked FUT Esports47c851.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.06785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+54.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed FUT Esports45c842.71$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.7116947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed FUT Esports43c822.7$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.796545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Astralis10c800$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.71,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed FUT Esports72c759.22$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.134,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked FUT Esports47c742.62$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.725650%28 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f0…5191backed FUT Esports71c713.66$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.662763%17 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Astralis39c713.07$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.724,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d59…811bbacked Astralis5c698.31$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.96642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Astralis45c689$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.691,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Astralis63c628.42$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.0192152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87bc…8420backed Astralis51c621.18$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-51.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed FUT Esports46c599.63$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.826451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed FUT Esports61c579.55$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.4812651.6%65 W · 61 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47a1…2169backed Astralis65c539.48$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.661526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick40cpaid+42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb855…3332backed Astralis10c510$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519832.7%32 W · 66 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked Astralis4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019642.9%84 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc70…7f2abacked Astralis48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403432.4%11 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Astralis61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30539851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2590…e38ebacked Astralis9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45263.8%1 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-80.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed FUT Esports43c464$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.821,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200e…4048backed Astralis14c461.86$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.59837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed FUT Esports50c457.64$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.829340.9%38 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Astralis13c405.57$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.252,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked FUT Esports50c400.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.735341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9798…12d2backed Astralis52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad6…a93cbacked Astralis65c384.42$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.873647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports53c380.81$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.815,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed FUT Esports50c350.58$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.0833043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked FUT Esports46c329.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2725846.1%119 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf68…6b13backed Astralis5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1560%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed FUT Esports37c300$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.1178348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee81…328cbacked Astralis7c274.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.822634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed FUT Esports61c257.54$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.543030%9 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1abb…493abacked FUT Esports78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.411450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x154d…a748backed Astralis5c254.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7260%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis20c249.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.836,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Astralis18c248.72$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2728443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FUT Esports51c231.43$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.123,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9390…6a88backed Astralis45c223.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.41631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0295…c9bebacked FUT Esports49c214.08$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.085156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed FUT Esports50c212.85$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8852947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf459…7a53backed Astralis61c210.9$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.544639.1%18 W · 28 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-25.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Astralis63c207.08$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13054732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed FUT Esports50c201.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7511643.1%50 W · 66 L-13.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Astralis10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdda…2408backed Astralis5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10280%0 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…0dd9backed Astralis10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207828.2%22 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+113.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Astralis46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Astralis8c199.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.142532%8 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Astralis51c189.97$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8811238.4%43 W · 69 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked FUT Esports49c186.76$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.732572%18 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed Astralis6c185.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2325416.9%43 W · 211 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3d0…6fc8backed FUT Esports56c178.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.372161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebec…f38dbacked FUT Esports79c152.23$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.231154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed FUT Esports49c149.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8117745.8%81 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Astralis52c137.24$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7122843.9%100 W · 128 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6c1…d9febacked FUT Esports48c135.42$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.427251.4%37 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed FUT Esports75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3314751%75 W · 72 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Astralis39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037850.3%190 W · 188 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Astralis36c126.71$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.251,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Astralis50c116$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5833459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed FUT Esports76c102.63$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.631758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed FUT Esports49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.046258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis26c101.88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.35,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Astralis51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5149849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed FUT Esports50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5018253.8%98 W · 84 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Astralis23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237236.1%26 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked FUT Esports39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.53531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf002…275ebacked FUT Esports48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524047.5%19 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Astralis45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed FUT Esports40c99.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9962538.6%241 W · 384 L-16.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked FUT Esports48c99.55$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.979151.6%47 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.