CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61b081d400efc14af8862e51bb4afcdc25328280988e6fa0ac73cb977fc37fef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb726…0664backed Astralis | 63c | 20,248$12,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,675.63 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Astralis | 52c | 7,739$4,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,007.2 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb328…4df1backed FUT Esports | 35c | 4,300$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.99 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Astralis | 0c | 3,879$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Astralis | 41c | 3,168$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.34 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309b…2c72backed Astralis | 64c | 3,107$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FUT Esports | 42c | 2,897$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.27 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked FUT Esports | 49c | 2,505$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.65 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed FUT Esports | 55c | 2,071$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.83 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Astralis | 51c | 1,974$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.93 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Astralis | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Astralis | 46c | 1,700$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed FUT Esports | 48c | 1,568$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.65 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Astralis | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 48c | 1,449$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.86 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c9…dfeabacked Astralis | 62c | 1,368$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.46 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked FUT Esports | 49c | 1,217$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.39 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed FUT Esports | 79c | 1,182$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.56 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked FUT Esports | 54c | 1,171$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.66 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FUT Esports | 40c | 1,127$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.34 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed FUT Esports | 55c | 1,120$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.89 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed FUT Esports | 45c | 1,066$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.51 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked FUT Esports | 49c | 1,034$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.61 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Astralis | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…f441backed Astralis | 50c | 999.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.81 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Astralis | 4c | 958.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790a…b48fbacked FUT Esports | 52c | 952.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.83 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd65…64bcbacked FUT Esports | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed FUT Esports | 45c | 842.71$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.71 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed FUT Esports | 43c | 822.7$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.7 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Astralis | 10c | 800$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FUT Esports | 72c | 759.22$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.13 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked FUT Esports | 47c | 742.62$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.72 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…5191backed FUT Esports | 71c | 713.66$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.66 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Astralis | 39c | 713.07$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.72 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked Astralis | 5c | 698.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Astralis | 45c | 689$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.69 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Astralis | 63c | 628.42$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.01 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87bc…8420backed Astralis | 51c | 621.18$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed FUT Esports | 46c | 599.63$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.8 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed FUT Esports | 61c | 579.55$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.48 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a1…2169backed Astralis | 65c | 539.48$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.66 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…3332backed Astralis | 10c | 510$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Astralis | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…7f2abacked Astralis | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Astralis | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Astralis | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed FUT Esports | 43c | 464$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.82 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…4048backed Astralis | 14c | 461.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed FUT Esports | 50c | 457.64$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.82 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Astralis | 13c | 405.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 400.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.7 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…12d2backed Astralis | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked Astralis | 65c | 384.42$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.87 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports | 53c | 380.81$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.81 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed FUT Esports | 50c | 350.58$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.08 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked FUT Esports | 46c | 329.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.27 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf68…6b13backed Astralis | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed FUT Esports | 37c | 300$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.11 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee81…328cbacked Astralis | 7c | 274.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed FUT Esports | 61c | 257.54$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.54 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1abb…493abacked FUT Esports | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154d…a748backed Astralis | 5c | 254.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis | 20c | 249.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Astralis | 18c | 248.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FUT Esports | 51c | 231.43$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…6a88backed Astralis | 45c | 223.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0295…c9bebacked FUT Esports | 49c | 214.08$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.08 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed FUT Esports | 50c | 212.85$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Astralis | 61c | 210.9$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.54 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Astralis | 63c | 207.08$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed FUT Esports | 50c | 201.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Astralis | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…2408backed Astralis | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Astralis | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Astralis | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Astralis | 8c | 199.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Astralis | 51c | 189.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked FUT Esports | 49c | 186.76$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.73 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed Astralis | 6c | 185.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 254 | 16.9%43 W · 211 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed FUT Esports | 56c | 178.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.37 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebec…f38dbacked FUT Esports | 79c | 152.23$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed FUT Esports | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.81 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Astralis | 52c | 137.24$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…d9febacked FUT Esports | 48c | 135.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed FUT Esports | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Astralis | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Astralis | 36c | 126.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Astralis | 50c | 116$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed FUT Esports | 76c | 102.63$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed FUT Esports | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis | 26c | 101.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Astralis | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed FUT Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Astralis | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked FUT Esports | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…275ebacked FUT Esports | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Astralis | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed FUT Esports | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked FUT Esports | 48c | 99.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.