TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9390…6a88

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
20
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.19
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$118
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100.4
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+163.2%+$354
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+127.3%+$177.69
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$206.14
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+560.7%+$398.12
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$138
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+65%+$97.75
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$192.16
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$159
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$422
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+150.2%+$201.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.