CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb8022f03367816189d5e03c385853459c3e2f093c37220ccedb012a5439bd91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Natus Vincere, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 13,565$3,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138.27 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309b…2c72backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 3,419$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 2,624$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.4 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked MOUZ | 64c | 2,129$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.52 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 2,090$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.13 | 574 | 22.5%129 W · 445 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed MOUZ | 60c | 1,955$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked MOUZ | 64c | 1,863$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.61 | 659 | 50.4%332 W · 327 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,560$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 57c | 1,510$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.23 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked MOUZ | 73c | 1,322$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.63 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 58c | 1,271$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.22 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked MOUZ | 58c | 1,180$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.8 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed MOUZ | 52c | 1,161$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.98 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 1,156$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…fccdbacked MOUZ | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed MOUZ | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 975.01$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.33 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked MOUZ | 76c | 973.04$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.03 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 927.71$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.54 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…f97bbacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 888.41$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.35 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 766.79$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.4 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 697$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.32 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked MOUZ | 60c | 678.1$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.64 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff6…5d2dbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 637.15$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x717f…1501backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 557.95$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 549$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked MOUZ | 56c | 537.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.93 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 519.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Natus Vincere | 4c | 506.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 60c | 496.03$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.09 | 458 | 59%270 W · 188 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 494.08$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.16 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 479$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.96 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389b…8d69backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 451.42$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc48a…bfc6backed MOUZ | 60c | 425.2$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8658…41c6backed MOUZ | 60c | 420.42$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.44 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…ee04backed MOUZ | 75c | 404.33$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed MOUZ | 53c | 399.98$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.99 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…6a88backed MOUZ | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Natus Vincere | 8c | 354.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 337.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5114…8346backed MOUZ | 61c | 328.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 311.78$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 300$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Natus Vincere | 8c | 299.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb649…e988backed MOUZ | 78c | 288.45$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 276.76$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a1…2169backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 260.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 256.43$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 254.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 227.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 224.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 836 | 43.5%364 W · 472 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed MOUZ | 53c | 220.92$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.34 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed MOUZ | 59c | 213.88$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…594bbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 203.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed MOUZ | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed MOUZ | 77c | 200$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…89d0backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 196.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Natus Vincere | 11c | 190$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…7b98backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 186.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…c1fcbacked MOUZ | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -9.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 137.86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere | 8c | 134.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fd…8002backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 119.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked MOUZ | 74c | 116.23$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 334 | 57.8%193 W · 141 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 109.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked MOUZ | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…04dabacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed MOUZ | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed MOUZ | 50c | 95.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 92.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7386…b1debacked MOUZ | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed MOUZ | 58c | 79.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 78.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed MOUZ | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed MOUZ | 60c | 66.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…3b01backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 63.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…ea80backed MOUZ | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 60.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 55.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed MOUZ | 55c | 52.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 737 | 58.2%429 W · 308 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f9…3f4fbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 52.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed MOUZ | 62c | 51.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…7350backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 50.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked MOUZ | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad97…4f4dbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16de…2ebdbacked MOUZ | 60c | 45.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked MOUZ | 63c | 41.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6965…a7e2backed MOUZ | 49c | 40.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6520…ea4bbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 34.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb0…d1bbbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 33.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 31.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ce…c8dabacked MOUZ | 63c | 29.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.