CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa71452fc69615eb781d2e3c05c28ef5c101c0885d08960e005e1b42349bf4248
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Natus Vincere, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 47c | 20,000$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,699.98 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed MOUZ | 50c | 18,768$9,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,395.39 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 18,703$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 10,306$3,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,554.67 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…3373backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 5,882$3,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,118.51 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed MOUZ | 58c | 5,115$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.51 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 66c | 4,254$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.04 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed MOUZ | 47c | 3,997$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.51 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed MOUZ | 46c | 3,760$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.07 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 3,447$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.42 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 64c | 2,500$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.23 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed MOUZ | 78c | 2,485$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.66 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,473$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.83 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked MOUZ | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 66c | 2,006$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.59 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked MOUZ | 47c | 1,889$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.36 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 67c | 1,795$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.71 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 1,755$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.22 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…f97bbacked MOUZ | 45c | 1,742$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.61 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x309b…2c72backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,677$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,593$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.75 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,469$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.19 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,451$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.5 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed MOUZ | 75c | 1,444$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.1 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked MOUZ | 47c | 1,441$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.9 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed MOUZ | 61c | 1,384$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.11 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked MOUZ | 48c | 1,318$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.75 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,242$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.26 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,141$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.74 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 49c | 1,100$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 59c | 1,096$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.86 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,086$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.39 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,060$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.39 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 999.99$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 885$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.36 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389b…8d69backed MOUZ | 57c | 884.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.84 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 831.27$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.98 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 800$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.01 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 792.95$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.28 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 666$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x47a1…2169backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 661.66$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.49 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 656.26$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.54 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…5191backed MOUZ | 72c | 655.14$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.14 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…3c1fbacked MOUZ | 63c | 633.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.48 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 607.09$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.48 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 524$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.12 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 499.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…12efbacked MOUZ | 47c | 480$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.4 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed MOUZ | 50c | 445.95$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.98 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e9…fcc9backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 441.87$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 435$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 428.37$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.41 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 407.11$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.33 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked MOUZ | 65c | 402.09$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.73 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed MOUZ | 54c | 400$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 357.67$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.42 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 357.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.13 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Natus Vincere | 11c | 335.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 330$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed MOUZ | 55c | 330$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 223 | 65%145 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 321.55$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked MOUZ | 54c | 292.49$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.42 | 334 | 57.8%193 W · 141 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 272.83$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.89 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 270$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1213…5ed6backed MOUZ | 48c | 258.03$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.43 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 257.66$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.83 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…f69ebacked MOUZ | 53c | 256.94$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…6a88backed MOUZ | 61c | 248.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…966bbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 237.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed MOUZ | 63c | 221$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.77 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed MOUZ | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed MOUZ | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 368 | 37.5%138 W · 230 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed MOUZ | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 198.53$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 197.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5114…8346backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…4048backed MOUZ | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 175$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 171.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 254 | 16.9%43 W · 211 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7386…b1debacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed MOUZ | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.21 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked MOUZ | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b4…4454backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 143.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed MOUZ | 62c | 143.22$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked MOUZ | 55c | 138.09$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…41c4backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 129.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 126.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 119.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b54…0b79backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 108.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +6.8wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 102.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac10…69b1backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…9728backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1698…68e8backed MOUZ | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 114 | 70.2%80 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.