CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3c1a9027e3fee0f5978728f3f35de3d4d3487c7e27df3073eddeba45e33a735
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Natus Vincere, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $507,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $617,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 446 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb726…0664backed MOUZ | 58c | 76,457$44,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,957.49 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb2…8586backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 71,484$30,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,285.32 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 34,091$14,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,995.01 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked MOUZ | 57c | 29,313$16,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,518.25 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 20,743$6,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,148.9 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ | 74c | 19,000$14,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,989.98 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 66c | 18,541$12,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,231.21 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 18,104$6,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,363.49 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 15,165$6,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,433.93 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked MOUZ | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked MOUZ | 65c | 10,252$6,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,615.88 | 186 | 54.8%102 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed MOUZ | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.97 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 9,997$3,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,694.17 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ | 69c | 9,514$6,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.87 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 8,410$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,609.86 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb328…4df1backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 7,700$3,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,416 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 7,101$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.59 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed MOUZ | 57c | 6,921$3,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,965.13 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 6,542$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.46 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 6,499$2,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674.38 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ | 59c | 5,740$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.99 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 5,112$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.58 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed MOUZ | 71c | 4,796$3,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.83 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 56c | 4,751$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.19 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 4,238$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.89 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed MOUZ | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.94 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 3,868$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 3,759$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.09 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked MOUZ | 58c | 3,757$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.9 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25ac…3e47backed MOUZ | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ | 74c | 3,500$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.99 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 56c | 3,108$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.58 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 2,923$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed MOUZ | 58c | 2,900$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 2,872$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.5 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 54c | 2,811$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.71 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 2,370$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.75 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 2,282$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.32 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 2,113$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898 | 296 | 47.6%141 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed MOUZ | 58c | 2,083$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.21 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked MOUZ | 58c | 2,042$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.84 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 2,006$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.98 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 2,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -9.6wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…692bbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.98 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed MOUZ | 60c | 1,924$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.68 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 1,833$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.96 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed MOUZ | 58c | 1,828$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.59 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,803$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.33 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…fd9cbacked MOUZ | 59c | 1,799$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…a74abacked MOUZ | 56c | 1,785$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,783$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.45 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed MOUZ | 56c | 1,770$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.8 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,770$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.23 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ab…a0d8backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,758$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…a5adbacked MOUZ | 61c | 1,723$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.81 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 1,718$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.01 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,700$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.98 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked MOUZ | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb14e…14f8backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,652$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,650$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,645$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.61 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 1,633$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked MOUZ | 60c | 1,626$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.36 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Natus Vincere | 6c | 1,599$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…7109backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,562$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,296$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.41 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked MOUZ | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…d9d2backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,189$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ | 72c | 1,173$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.76 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,162$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.66 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed MOUZ | 60c | 1,159$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.5 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae57…45e2backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,088$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.91 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,049$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.07 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed MOUZ | 58c | 1,040$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.79 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944f…d441backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,012$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.15 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 60c | 1,000$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.78 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed MOUZ | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe96e…f963backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 989$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 945.83$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d84…3c31backed MOUZ | 54c | 940$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.6 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked MOUZ | 59c | 916.88$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.92 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 911.47$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.98 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b4…8b69backed MOUZ | 59c | 899.98$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed MOUZ | 76c | 899.98$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9c73backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 895$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed MOUZ | 57c | 852$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.36 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed MOUZ | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed MOUZ | 68c | 833.23$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.25 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 830$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.81 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 828$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.28 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked MOUZ | 57c | 826.31$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.31 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed MOUZ | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 778.37$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.68 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790a…b48fbacked MOUZ | 65c | 771.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.57 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked MOUZ | 76c | 770.28$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.2 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked MOUZ | 71c | 762.4$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.4 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.