TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x25ab…6321

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
347
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: La Liga, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 60 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11230.4%34 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 112 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$5,562Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+750.5%+$41,737.25
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$304
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,293
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$990
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.99
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$710
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.99
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+230.6%+$431.18
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$980
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.54
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Showing 25 of 112 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT9723.7%23 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 97 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked DENDELE CS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.08
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+351.5%+$456.96
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+396.9%+$484.25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+890%+$257.9
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.08
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+297.2%+$746.98
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.44
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$315
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$654.99
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$501
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$655
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$473
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$172
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$444
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$665.99
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.49
Showing 25 of 97 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT4822.9%11 W · 37 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.4
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$607.75
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$700
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.25
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$304
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$355
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$294
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+127.3%+$392
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$690
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+733.3%+$880
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+150%+$300
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$39.24
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,060
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$290
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$610
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$443.54
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$276
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.8
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$516.46
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$744.4
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.81
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.77
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$680
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$745
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$516
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$782Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$918
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+334.8%+$1,925
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+143.9%+$1,180
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$900
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$1,000
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$429.83
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$400.84
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$152.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$34.53
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+137.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
La Liga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,458Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,242
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$492
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+501%+$626.24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$384
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$1,247
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$81.69
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+566.7%+$2,550
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$1,350
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$390
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$413.5
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+525%+$84
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+316.7%+$316.67
All 18 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-47.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,027.44
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,408Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$758.1
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$2,000
Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Almanak FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$498
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,283Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,282.65
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$994Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+73.8%+$733.53
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will PAOK win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$315
Spread: PAOK (-1.5)backed PAOK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.2
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.2
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.7
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$109.2
Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-1.5)backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,080
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+173.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+76.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+252.9%+$1,075
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,990Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$1,162.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.