Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1dc7f94b652f91d3966d54270066be6f6f95e19421b4c27cceb42ccbce9d066
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arsenal FCof Club Atlético de Madrid, Arsenal FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc947…3462backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 7c | 21,276$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…8756backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 5c | 7,766$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 5,145$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.71 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 4,803$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 5c | 4,432$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.62 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 3,740$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd404…b4ebbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 3,630$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…07f8backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 3,073$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816a…8df4backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 1c | 2,591$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 4c | 2,163$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.01 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 8c | 1,918$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.14 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 1,517$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 1,100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 1,030$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63da…d5cebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb03…791fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 5c | 909.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4af0…9996backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 766.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 5c | 640$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 183 | 34.4%63 W · 120 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 630.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…521bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 7c | 610.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x289d…d5e2backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 581.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 5c | 501$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…c26abacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 466.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…412ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 7c | 335.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…6dd8backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…ec98backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 324.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412c…2d87backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 4c | 245.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfec4…1958backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 244.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0a…cc62backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 216.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…f569backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.