TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,484
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,484 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x54d2…ac37backed Over29c70,771$20,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,500.22520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-51.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under73c49,155$35,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,498.831,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over4c4,813$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.615438.3%59 W · 95 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under71c3,459$2,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.135957.6%34 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under76c3,392$2,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.431,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaa00…f736backed Under72c3,234$2,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Under72c3,000$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8309757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over29c2,757$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8106628.8%19 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under72c2,709$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.2431342.5%133 W · 180 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over23c2,393$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.54333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+272.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over30c2,293$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6883713.5%5 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…d361backed Over23c2,100$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.9960%0 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under71c2,047$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.7561447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6544…4b74backed Over29c2,030$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.71118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-62.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed Under72c1,956$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.641471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+45%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over28c1,944$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.221250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over15c1,900$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2845123.5%12 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under71c1,709$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.6110852.8%57 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over11c1,499$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.91933.3%3 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.23per pick11cpaid+149%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over19c1,457$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.55229.1%2 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-79.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Under72c1,390$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.077247.2%34 W · 38 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006735.8%24 W · 43 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over19c1,206$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.183917.9%7 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under71c1,111$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.195658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under71c1,069$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.158751.7%45 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over28c1,028$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.7134642.2%146 W · 200 L-15.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29029138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28015032.7%49 W · 101 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed Over21c999.97$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.993938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c29…79b6backed Over28c999.97$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.991020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Under70c830$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2491553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-84.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under71c657.75$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.754562.2%28 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd88d…f708backed Over30c647.93$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.38333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over14c628.01$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5441238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over12c600$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723116.1%5 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-53.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1743452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb348…776fbacked Over11c535.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-52.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under71c518.69$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.429043.3%39 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-12%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over29c482.76$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over29c477.11$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.119332.3%30 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-1.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under77c415.58$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.583342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under71c413.95$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.776547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Under78c408.72$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.784660.9%28 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under71c375.29$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5941553%220 W · 195 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under72c367.41$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.295468.5%37 W · 17 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc89…4ca1backed Under72c355.24$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.47666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Under72c347.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.229142.9%39 W · 52 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x17ce…3e93backed Over29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under71c318.31$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3110249%50 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over27c312.09$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2726445.8%121 W · 143 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Under72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8412843.8%56 W · 72 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over11c299.14$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.927334.2%25 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under71c291.9$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.652564%16 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdeb…0b10backed Under71c290$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.11080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+36.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Over30c290$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under71c279.36$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5131047.4%147 W · 163 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Under71c275.13$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4529…d10abacked Under73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.972748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5941…9583backed Under73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.972740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Under77c264.94$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.942250%11 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under73c257.45$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.512147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+38%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under74c255$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.193545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under71c252.86$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.696553.8%35 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under72c250.87$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.425867.2%39 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e48…f025backed Under73c239.73$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.73785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Over28c221.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.168933.7%30 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Under73c212.46$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.61963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5625659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe956…c4e0backed Under73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Under80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+36%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under72c198$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.13458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under71c195.16$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.629445.9%135 W · 159 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under71c194.83$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.893976.9%30 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+26.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1a4d…2b6abacked Under73c184.93$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3191…e118backed Over29c180.52$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.35520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5c7…5cecbacked Over28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9604…3cacbacked Under71c161.97$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Over19c159.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2526144.4%116 W · 145 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Under72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429556.8%54 W · 41 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a77…8b53backed Under76c150$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde8e…3289backed Under71c150$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x888c…19f9backed Over14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45b5…5b12backed Under71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+44.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac7…c99abacked Under71c140.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Under72c140$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.23253.1%17 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed Under73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a67…af26backed Under76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.582060%12 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3e…4d47backed Under76c120$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Under71c115.81$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.596100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+59.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under76c112.16$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.162634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under71c108$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3260648.3%293 W · 313 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35a7…c4eebacked Over28c104.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.221942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f52…eb8bbacked Over28c103.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.981010%1 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-79.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Over29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303122.6%7 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301010%1 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick35cpaid-79.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f7…b944backed Over17c103.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7950%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d4d…4f6bbacked Under73c102.74$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.74785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.