Champions League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x118a61cee23dd6674c5666e673103fc7a3eac2fa857779ef205f60254dbc5834
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,105,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,193,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,105,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 654 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91ee…c5b8backed Under | 50c | 949,127$475,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473,222.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 51c | 504,999$257,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257,549.54 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 49c | 125,000$61,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,749.99 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 49c | 105,514$51,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,811.89 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over | 51c | 102,658$52,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,355.66 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Over | 49c | 77,730$38,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,234.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed Over | 49c | 73,387$35,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,748.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 49c | 72,536$35,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,279.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Over | 49c | 69,340$34,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,266.06 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…bad3backed Under | 49c | 60,666$29,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,946.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 48c | 60,297$28,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,354.18 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 57,080$30,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,913.01 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa8…e9abbacked Over | 45c | 51,817$23,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,119.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 51c | 45,308$23,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,107.01 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 49c | 40,816$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,816.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 51c | 38,646$19,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,709.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 55c | 36,511$20,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,252.57 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 51c | 34,000$17,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,660 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Under | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked Under | 49c | 27,878$13,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,217.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over | 52c | 23,000$11,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,960 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Over | 52c | 20,298$10,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,555 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Under | 60c | 20,075$12,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,941.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 18,211$11,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,860.7 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 65c | 17,727$11,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,280.37 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…a537backed Over | 39c | 15,278$5,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,896.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Under | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 13,749$6,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,817.76 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…5871backed Over | 50c | 13,283$6,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,641.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over | 50c | 12,200$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…f2b1backed Over | 36c | 12,188$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Over | 33c | 12,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.97 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Under | 51c | 10,768$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,268.04 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…cd3dbacked Under | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb472…271abacked Over | 52c | 9,677$5,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,032.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 56c | 9,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 49c | 8,963$4,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,391.66 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 49c | 8,370$4,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,268.7 | 264 | 45.8%121 W · 143 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Under | 49c | 7,748$3,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,951.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 48c | 7,388$3,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,549.02 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…9b0bbacked Over | 52c | 6,900$3,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,588 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…7994backed Over | 35c | 6,671$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 59c | 6,477$3,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,677.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…63f9backed Over | 49c | 6,319$3,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,098.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Under | 48c | 5,700$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Under | 49c | 5,627$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 5,599$3,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.06 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 51c | 5,300$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.98 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +11.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 49c | 5,182$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 17c | 5,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.95 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 49c | 4,985$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,542.5 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.01 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Over | 50c | 4,500$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 51c | 4,488$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.94 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Over | 50c | 4,394$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Over | 51c | 4,216$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Over | 25c | 4,120$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.99 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Under | 49c | 4,062$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under | 49c | 3,837$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Over | 51c | 3,762$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Under | 50c | 3,750$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…1d58backed Over | 52c | 3,563$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Under | 51c | 3,546$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf003…08cdbacked Under | 49c | 3,408$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31de…9572backed Over | 52c | 3,131$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2211…ed34backed Under | 48c | 3,069$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Under | 64c | 2,973$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.1 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3da…3320backed Under | 48c | 2,954$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…0532backed Under | 48c | 2,781$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Under | 49c | 2,714$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 49c | 2,612$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.23 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Under | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 52c | 2,500$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Over | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 48c | 2,328$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Over | 43c | 2,300$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b7…7611backed Over | 52c | 2,287$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 49c | 2,128$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.28 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2038…b0e7backed Under | 48c | 2,126$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 49c | 2,042$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.57 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dc…eaa8backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.31per pick | 32cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…cdfcbacked Under | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f9…b9c5backed Over | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d8…1fbdbacked Over | 52c | 1,949$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e3…af4bbacked Under | 50c | 1,936$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Under | 53c | 1,913$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7909…e8febacked Over | 16c | 1,876$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 47c | 1,844$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.94 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 26c | 1,705$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.43 | 154 | 38.3%59 W · 95 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 22c | 1,700$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.98 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Over | 20c | 1,670$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.