Champions League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf191692a30f7e88de566bce7fe4c8926cf9cae2e5735f2b4a51006040bf89c6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $295,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $289,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 731 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5966…f804backed No | 50c | 62,544$31,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,156.48 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…37aebacked Yes | 51c | 42,691$21,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,693.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 40,077$22,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,910.1 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 23,702$12,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,142.72 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 50c | 12,358$6,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,185.37 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 50c | 11,218$5,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,622.92 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 10,616$5,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.98 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…a4cfbacked Yes | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x072c…f037backed Yes | 46c | 6,486$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 50c | 5,563$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781.65 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…b1b1backed Yes | 51c | 5,274$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Yes | 36c | 5,203$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.91 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Yes | 49c | 4,819$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 49c | 4,110$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 49c | 4,000$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…920fbacked Yes | 48c | 4,000$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…5095backed Yes | 51c | 3,841$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes | 50c | 3,509$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…ff5dbacked Yes | 53c | 3,439$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8e…e799backed No | 50c | 3,400$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +126%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…f8a4backed Yes | 50c | 3,380$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8f…58debacked No | 49c | 3,380$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 52c | 3,316$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.78 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba89…0fefbacked Yes | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 47c | 2,891$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.8 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 58c | 2,637$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.71 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…4183backed Yes | 50c | 2,546$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…33c1backed Yes | 49c | 2,465$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd90…2541backed Yes | 52c | 2,420$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 50c | 2,400$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.27 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 49c | 2,311$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.82 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 47c | 2,114$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Yes | 51c | 2,029$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.6 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes | 51c | 2,029$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.59 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 49c | 2,020$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.64 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2a…4a00backed Yes | 50c | 1,965$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 56c | 1,797$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.59 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Yes | 45c | 1,763$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 48c | 1,733$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.28 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Yes | 49c | 1,698$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.07 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,657$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 49c | 1,611$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.4 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…5edbbacked Yes | 50c | 1,566$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,563$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5721…6746backed Yes | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.96 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 47c | 1,400$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Yes | 44c | 1,360$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…2bb3backed Yes | 48c | 1,332$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 51c | 1,325$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.46 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…c9c9backed Yes | 50c | 1,314$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes | 49c | 1,267$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.21 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.28per pick | 37cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf23…51a0backed Yes | 49c | 1,251$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e00…c1f2backed Yes | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked No | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 50c | 1,160$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 49c | 1,110$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.92 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 56c | 1,052$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.54 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 47c | 1,028$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 49c | 1,023$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.28per pick | 64cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc55e…19c7backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.2 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 27c | 999.59$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.88 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 49c | 996.71$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.39 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Yes | 35c | 947.82$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.04 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 49c | 918.37$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 47c | 899.43$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.82 | 182 | 50.5%92 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 50c | 890$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked No | 53c | 875.53$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.44 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Yes | 49c | 866.33$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 48c | 865.6$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.49 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 45c | 855.56$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 40c | 850$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 51c | 834.67$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.45 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b29…556ebacked Yes | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 37cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…dff2backed Yes | 30c | 815.5$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 50c | 796$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.08 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Yes | 50c | 792.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…30e3backed Yes | 10c | 781.79$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed No | 50c | 739$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 716.92$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.78 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Yes | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Yes | 37c | 705.3$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.67 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 50c | 700.82$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7a…7887backed No | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Yes | 43c | 699.99$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Yes | 43c | 648.84$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Yes | 46c | 645.64$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 50c | 636.24$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.12 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.