TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb0d7…0df5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
219
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT4551.1%23 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Rinderknech vs Tirantebacked Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$131
ITF Kutaisi: Cyril Vandermeersch vs Semen Pankinbacked Semen Pankin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$44.5
Bordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$26.21
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$89.11
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zhizhen Zhang vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandra Eala vs Magdalena Frechbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Shymkent 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Manoj Dhamne Manasbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$123.94
Shymkent 2: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Mili Poljicakbacked Mili Poljicak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Jiujiang: Yunchaokete Bu vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$96.66
Shymkent 2: Alexandr Binda vs Manoj Dhamne Manasbacked Alexandr Binda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Saint-Malo: Celine Naef vs Anna Blinkovabacked Celine Naef · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.26
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$66.02
Ostrava: Zdenek Kolar vs Jonas Forejtekbacked Jonas Forejtek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Mauthausen: Martin Krumich vs Jaime Fariabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$89.45
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$91.46
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.23
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Ignacio Busebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$44.76
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$76.15
Frech vs. Sierra: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+196.6%+$90.6
Madrid Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Martin Dammbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.81
Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$49.12
Shymkent: Jelle Sels vs Antoine Ghibaudobacked Jelle Sels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.94
Gwangju: Liam Broady vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.61
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT4434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$770.31
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$97.78
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 209.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$131.76
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$636.86
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$192.71
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.47
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.29
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$473.35
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$82.91
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.42
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$376.69
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.28
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.15
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$469.4
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.39
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$367.23
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.5
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.61
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$48.47
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.81
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.54
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.78
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$338
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$34.35
Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.22
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.56
Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.85
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.82
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.24
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$82.91
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.22
Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.89
Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.32
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$829.53
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.69
Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.95
Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.18
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$374.79
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.14
Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.28
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.22
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$127.79
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Girona FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.41
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$100.04
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$489.47
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$324
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$489.68
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$289.24
Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$44.21
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.48
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.84
Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.22
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.27
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$97.93
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.41
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.74
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.19
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+194.4%+$362.22
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.23
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.95
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+115%+$95.26
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$261
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$163
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+212.9%+$852.63
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.8
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$197.08
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$482.96
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.94
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.89
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$166.72
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.99
Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.03
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.87
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.12
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$550.5
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$333
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+251%+$1,003.97
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$461
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98.85
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.27
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.07
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$34.89
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.64
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.59
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.94
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.79
All 16 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+61.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$164.67
Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$282
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
AC Milan vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$457.62
AC Milan vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.84
ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+238.5%+$465.23
ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$38.21
Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+130.8%+$227.89
Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$56.38
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+62.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-80.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+107.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+166.1%+$217.24
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Partizanbacked Partizan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$93
Real Madrid vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$28.86
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.