Asian League · resolved market
Urawa Red Diamonds vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c26d3961727ea0ac0ddcff1c527cb94ee204422a4ea3ff7336bf616f6f02202
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 11,502$7,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,806.11 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 60c | 6,490$3,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,865.04 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 35c | 4,246$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 3,481$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.84 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 62c | 2,891$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.64 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 41c | 2,036$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 40c | 1,572$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.85 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 45c | 1,348$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 70c | 1,100$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 37c | 705.36$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.37 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Over | 19c | 618$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.42 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 41c | 536.59$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1783backed Under | 59c | 464.96$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.42 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 63c | 412.16$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.59 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…4cfbbacked Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 25c | 337.18$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 42c | 330$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 59c | 325.36$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.25 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 37c | 300$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.7 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 278.27$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.98 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 75c | 203.57$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 72c | 199.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 41c | 190.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.3 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Over | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Over | 44c | 168.18$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 39c | 118.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 20c | 106.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 63c | 101$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 59c | 91.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 20c | 90.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 50c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Over | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 72c | 83.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 28c | 78.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 73c | 72.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 64.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 30c | 60.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ec…7ef0backed Over | 19c | 58.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 63c | 40.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7482…a8f7backed Over | 42c | 34.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Over | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Under | 78c | 30.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 40 | 85%34 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…0e72backed Under | 56c | 24.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1272…37e7backed Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Over | 55c | 19.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed Under | 56c | 19.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: FC Tōkyō (-1.5)Urawa Red Diamonds won
- Spread: FC Tōkyō (-2.5)Urawa Red Diamonds won
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. FC Tōkyō: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 2.5Under won
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 3.5Under won
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.