Asian League · resolved market
Urawa Red Diamonds vs. FC Tōkyō: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7ef1725f62ecdaf2c18dd3264d1c8c0d5e3134622941546908a271d097c1f4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 26c | 10,042$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.53 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 7,539$5,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.61 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 67c | 2,416$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.69 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 957.98$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.66 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 53c | 562.26$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 52c | 466.13$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.77 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 43c | 394.4$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.69 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 50c | 286.42$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.21 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 27c | 237.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 45c | 225$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…095bbacked Yes | 19c | 219.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 53c | 188.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 36c | 119.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 80.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1783backed No | 75c | 63.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 76c | 60.61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe80d…480abacked Yes | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes | 53c | 54.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 47c | 51.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…db19backed Yes | 42c | 47.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 55c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 45c | 40.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 48c | 37.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed Yes | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed No | 78c | 21.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 64c | 18.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. FC Tōkyō: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: FC Tōkyō (-1.5)Urawa Red Diamonds won
- Spread: FC Tōkyō (-2.5)Urawa Red Diamonds won
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 1.5Under won
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 2.5Under won
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 3.5Under won
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.