TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5362…d242

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
147
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT3828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$51.87
Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)backed Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+107.8%+$43.14
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Cerezo Ōsaka (-1.5)backed Nagoya Grampus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Spread: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-1.5)backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)backed Kashima Antlers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+218.7%+$65.62
Will V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Vissel Kōbe end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Vissel Kōbe (-1.5)backed Vissel Kōbe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Ahli Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$72.86
Al Ahli Saudi Club leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$40.27
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)backed Al Hilal Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)backed Shandong Taishan FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$40.86
Urawa Red Diamonds vs. FC Tōkyō: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$69.49
Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)backed FC Seoul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.58
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT3327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$25.23
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Deportivo Alavés leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+238.9%+$93.18
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-05-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.98
Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)backed CD Castellón · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)backed Girona FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+163.8%+$32.76
Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)backed Valencia CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Real Sociedad de Fútbol leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Girona FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.52
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+195.6%+$38.24
Valencia CF leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Getafe CF leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Midtjylland (-2.5)backed FC Midtjylland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Odense BK win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$52
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)backed Estoril Praia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+602.4%+$120.48
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)backed FC Porto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
SK Brann vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
SK Brann leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$34.56
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$43.79
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.96
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)backed Rangers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Kilmarnock FC (-1.5)backed Kilmarnock FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+188.4%+$59.65
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Randers FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+300%+$58.98
Set 1 Winner: Swiatek vs Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$34.94
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$25.14
Set 1 Winner: Cirstea vs Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+162.8%+$32.56
Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Daniel Galanbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Darderibacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.75
Oeiras 4: Cristian Garin vs Lautaro Midonbacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.03
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Valencia: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nicolas Alvarez Varonabacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Set 1 Winner: Khachanov vs Prizmicbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.45
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set 1 Winner: Ruiz vs Medvedevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.94
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-38.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari Calcio leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$60.91
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.73
FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.98
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Juventus FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)backed Como 1907 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.79
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)backed Como 1907 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)backed SSC Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$39.86
SSC Napoli leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$45.87
AC Milan leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+57.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hannover 96 vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Spread: Hannover 96 (-1.5)backed Hannover 96 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
SV Darmstadt 98 vs. SC Paderborn 07: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$80.75
Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)backed VfL Wolfsburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$136.67
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$53.02
Bayer 04 Leverkusen leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
VfL Wolfsburg leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+221.4%+$42.06
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-77.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+83.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.