Serie A · resolved market
Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12b8df2143322df28d0bb49e8baf10aee93d10027bde50e91867278bbb8248b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSC Napoliof SSC Napoli, Pisa SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pisa SC | 75c | 898.88$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.63 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed SSC Napoli | 36c | 733.99$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.96 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed SSC Napoli | 33c | 672.76$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.66 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Pisa SC | 61c | 606.43$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.87 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed SSC Napoli | 38c | 596.93$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.9 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Pisa SC | 45c | 499.55$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0338backed Pisa SC | 13c | 384$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Pisa SC | 7c | 157$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Pisa SC | 69c | 150.42$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed SSC Napoli | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed SSC Napoli | 33c | 111.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.56 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed SSC Napoli | 51c | 105$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Pisa SC | 79c | 102.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.02 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed SSC Napoli | 55c | 88.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Pisa SC | 74c | 75.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed SSC Napoli | 22c | 73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Pisa SC | 25c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Pisa SC | 31c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked SSC Napoli | 37c | 48.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Pisa SC | 70c | 42.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Pisa SC | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed SSC Napoli | 42c | 28.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Pisa SC | 57c | 27.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)this page
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 0.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.