Serie A · resolved market
Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ac6cea58c8c4744cd337650a61eda066a0bcc61d68ce2519b396b25ad91f2f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 74c | 3,255$2,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.06 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 25c | 2,505$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.05 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 74c | 1,715$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.9 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 1,511$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.04 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 27c | 1,380$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.6 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 621.41$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.73 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 15c | 413.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 26c | 310$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.07 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 23c | 263.69$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa90b…5ca7backed Over | 78c | 257.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 72c | 254.1$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 77c | 193.35$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +14.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed6…b0b3backed Over | 74c | 186$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 76c | 163$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 75c | 136.8$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 27c | 113.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 71c | 108.68$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Over | 78c | 96.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +6.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 75c | 91.3$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 25c | 65.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…5e65backed Over | 77c | 32.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 74c | 31.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…e44dbacked Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…1e3bbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Over | 77c | 16.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…c3aabacked Over | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5this page
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 0.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)SSC Napoli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.