Serie A · resolved market
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf450fd7539a07ae207e111bacb74d9db0b6892822d8b8095e83cc055bd3ed8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSC Napoliof SSC Napoli, Pisa SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed SSC Napoli | 68c | 4,006$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.85 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Pisa SC | 57c | 3,143$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.84 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SSC Napoli | 43c | 1,979$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.98 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed SSC Napoli | 66c | 1,213$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.53 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pisa SC | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked SSC Napoli | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked SSC Napoli | 42c | 920$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.6 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Pisa SC | 56c | 904.99$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Pisa SC | 57c | 771.11$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.81 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Pisa SC | 42c | 764.2$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.97 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Pisa SC | 13c | 658.35$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed SSC Napoli | 49c | 586.32$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.41 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked SSC Napoli | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SSC Napoli | 68c | 529.21$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.91 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked SSC Napoli | 43c | 383.72$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.72 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Pisa SC | 55c | 341.03$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.08 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked SSC Napoli | 65c | 305.88$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.59 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +6.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Pisa SC | 56c | 292.27$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.47 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed SSC Napoli | 47c | 281.6$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.3 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed SSC Napoli | 42c | 240.86$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.7 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed SSC Napoli | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked SSC Napoli | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Pisa SC | 59c | 208.32$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.91 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pisa SC | 35c | 205.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pisa SC | 51c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Pisa SC | 35c | 185$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Pisa SC | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked SSC Napoli | 42c | 164.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Pisa SC | 17c | 160.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed SSC Napoli | 66c | 152.73$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed SSC Napoli | 70c | 114.77$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed SSC Napoli | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pisa SC | 59c | 108.06$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked SSC Napoli | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Pisa SC | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed SSC Napoli | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed SSC Napoli | 40c | 98.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked Pisa SC | 55c | 87.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pisa SC | 15c | 87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed SSC Napoli | 42c | 80.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Pisa SC | 18c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…9419backed SSC Napoli | 43c | 61.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pisa SC | 57c | 61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed SSC Napoli | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed SSC Napoli | 44c | 56.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed SSC Napoli | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed SSC Napoli | 41c | 49.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Pisa SC | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4271…3f6dbacked SSC Napoli | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed SSC Napoli | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed SSC Napoli | 44c | 35.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…a812backed SSC Napoli | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +47%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked SSC Napoli | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed SSC Napoli | 43c | 30.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed SSC Napoli | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked SSC Napoli | 63c | 29.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed SSC Napoli | 58c | 28.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Pisa SC | 56c | 27.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed SSC Napoli | 46c | 25.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Pisa SC | 55c | 25.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked SSC Napoli | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked SSC Napoli | 44c | 23.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…1a0dbacked Pisa SC | 60c | 18.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)this page
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 0.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)SSC Napoli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.