Serie A · resolved market
Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04ca7c28314c4531f52162e2a5e4b3532ee207ff268b1a41a5b0105bfd0c324c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 841.54$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.62 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 30c | 459.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 67c | 423.12$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.37 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 42c | 398.42$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.08 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 36c | 299$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 41c | 275.61$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 59c | 247.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 246.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 57c | 233.53$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.42 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 43c | 233.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 16c | 224.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 41c | 173.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…2712backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 64c | 156.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.63 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5d…6cdcbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked No | 58c | 144.5$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 42c | 108.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0cc7backed Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 42c | 89.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 65.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 57c | 50.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 53c | 39.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 40c | 35.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 44c | 33.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…f222backed No | 57c | 27.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed No | 68c | 20.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 0.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)SSC Napoli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.