TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$300,459
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$360,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,459 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under48c62,999$30,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,212.282560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Under49c31,157$15,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,266.755349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Over46c25,000$11,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,499.966437.5%24 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Over47c23,000$10,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,189.971833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b38…52c8backed Under0c10,519$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-58.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under54c10,440$5,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,637.572445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over52c7,692$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,692.318354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under53c7,547$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22f9…f814backed Over52c7,463$3,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,582.172100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+162.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over52c7,285$3,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,501.4219952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over51c6,400$3,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1366165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2444…4252backed Under54c5,739$3,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.12837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c5,400$2,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,638.4968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over53c5,274$2,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.8318923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Over49c5,067$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,566.73167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over51c4,800$2,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3524971.4%35 W · 14 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under53c4,717$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over47c4,255$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.137358.9%43 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under54c3,449$1,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,856.444146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under53c3,350$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under53c3,166$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.042365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under54c3,023$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.281752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c3,001$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.2898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over51c2,969$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.473923.1%9 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c2,902$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.962,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over52c2,804$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.922250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd181…5136backed Over50c2,800$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over51c2,800$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3726365.1%41 W · 22 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Over52c2,727$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.961266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over51c2,368$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.325151%26 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over48c2,339$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.8134239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over52c2,308$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.693447.1%16 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+42.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under54c2,297$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.6427453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under47c2,227$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.8940447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over46c2,224$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.81540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0006950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9804170.7%29 W · 12 L+7.4wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+41.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over51c1,928$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.515862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c1,917$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.3341954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over53c1,910$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.6915946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over51c1,840$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.62378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.7wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+50.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under54c1,686$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.161741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over51c1,664$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.566666.7%44 W · 22 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under52c1,624$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.132650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Over52c1,623$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over51c1,600$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7846170.5%43 W · 18 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over47c1,530$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.7326040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Under35c1,447$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.3944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over50c1,358$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.585054%27 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under52c1,320$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.6736456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5886369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5885666.1%37 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Over52c1,150$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x716e…bcc2backed Under53c1,136$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.968033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over53c1,069$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.016852.9%36 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over51c1,040$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.66465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over51c1,038$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.716070%42 W · 18 L+10.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48012357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5803…7a85backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9366…a9f6backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdcd…0fe6backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+46.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e3e…ea35backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+107.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb56…c1bcbacked Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51f0…3651backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6464…99adbacked Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c787.92$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.8132854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over46c761$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.949652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Over52c735.47$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.582152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over53c734.32$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.5930828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Under53c700$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over49c696.85$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.391258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over52c654.23$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.0310451%53 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over51c640$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.65367.9%36 W · 17 L+8.3wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Over51c624$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.766167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.0wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over51c624$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.765867.2%39 W · 19 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Over52c608.37$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.021872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Under4c600$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over17c593.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.712080%16 W · 4 L+6.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+113.1%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Over52c578$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.44933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.924647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Under18c570.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.312123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+79%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over49c499.98$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.992941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c498.94$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.6291043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Under10c417.88$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.79812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+42.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1964669.6%32 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1964472.7%32 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+44.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Over48c398.55$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.25757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+60.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd0…07a9backed Under48c397.15$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over51c395$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.555168.6%35 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+34.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under22c392.36$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.378232.9%27 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Under15c310.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.791040%4 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+141.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Over40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under54c289.63$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.41915.8%3 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-60.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over56c284.76$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.369561.1%58 W · 37 L+14.4wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over65c277.2$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.277051.4%36 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over52c270.76$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.9965254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under56c250.36$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9441144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.