Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81fc9d2c9becbced78e953589a6472c0edd16368638fdcbf6a4e6e7932b9810e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 17c | 7,605$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.87 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 3,600$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 25c | 2,001$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 1,625$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.86 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked No | 77c | 1,559$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.51 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 1,133$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.95 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb30d…5cf1backed No | 77c | 707.21$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.66 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 78c | 704.96$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.59 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 74c | 354.69$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 76c | 286.4$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.18 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 79c | 193.97$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed Yes | 27c | 144.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 78c | 140.69$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 79c | 126.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 112.93$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 24c | 83.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 28c | 70.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 79c | 53.03$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807d…72a0backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 78c | 46.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Vålerenga Fotball vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF end in a draw?No won
- Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.