Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vålerenga Fotball vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9490aafee06ebe5fca2a33f847cf118d7b0a8c722285e80262b512dcca974f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 76c | 5,980$4,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.28 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 3,551$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.28 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 24c | 1,933$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.89 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 53c | 1,060$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.05 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 1,036$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.99 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…3d83backed Yes | 44c | 1,023$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 8c | 958.51$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…68e7backed Yes | 79c | 953.51$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 48c | 799.97$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.99 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 57c | 765.38$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.21 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 36c | 713.71$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.86 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 568.33$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.38 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 29c | 556.21$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.91 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 62c | 464.82$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.61 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Yes | 53c | 377.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…96bfbacked Yes | 59c | 372.04$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 45c | 279.58$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f16…b17cbacked Yes | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 35c | 214.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 60c | 195.9$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 20c | 178.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 152.65$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 54c | 150.48$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 20c | 145$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Yes | 26c | 106.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 24c | 89.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 58c | 87.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf496…b05ebacked Yes | 63c | 84.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 24c | 82.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 20c | 77.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 42c | 74.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf8…4d13backed Yes | 24c | 61.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 38c | 59.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 30c | 57.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 34c | 57.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…1184backed No | 65c | 57.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…ff47backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 50c | 46.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…27f3backed Yes | 52c | 40.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…1ec6backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…1d8dbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 35.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 56c | 32.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3264…f0bdbacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…e5adbacked Yes | 78c | 25.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 45c | 25.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked No | 77c | 25.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…7eaebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed No | 75c | 14.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vålerenga Fotball vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF end in a draw?this page
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.