Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbea143728aa4be179cb4e249e6052845a144ddc51df8aefd8fad1df706ce689f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 47c | 3,231$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.44 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 53c | 3,131$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.11 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…f741backed No | 45c | 2,583$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.24 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -5.1wins | -0.43per pick | 51cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes | 42c | 2,183$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 1,543$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.91 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 57c | 1,539$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.09 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 44c | 1,518$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.73 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 54c | 1,020$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.26 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 53c | 943.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.06 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 899.54$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.22 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 34c | 838.77$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.04 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 14c | 809.95$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.65 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed Yes | 61c | 714.07$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.82 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 55c | 593.16$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.92 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 43c | 413.35$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.74 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 50c | 401.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…2ebdbacked No | 50c | 380$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 62c | 371.22$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.09 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 40c | 334.7$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.82 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 37c | 321$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.52 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 74c | 253.2$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.65 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 54c | 240$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.75 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 45c | 204.96$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.23 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 51c | 199.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 44c | 180.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.53 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 58c | 172.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…3efbbacked No | 61c | 164.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 48c | 157.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 72c | 145.57$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 48c | 119.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Yes | 77c | 115.39$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 28c | 114.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 39c | 104.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 32c | 98.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 44c | 85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +283.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 40c | 78.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 55c | 74.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 48c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed4…8f43backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 48c | 72.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 55c | 71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 51c | 56.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed No | 48c | 55.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 49c | 55.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yes | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 43c | 52.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Yes | 42c | 52.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 45c | 50.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 42c | 49.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…21a8backed Yes | 50c | 48.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 27c | 47.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Yes | 38c | 42.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 52c | 39.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1591…9bc9backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 52c | 38.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…f50dbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 53c | 37.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 51c | 37.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Yes | 65c | 34.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 53c | 30.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…5828backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 56c | 28.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a4…febabacked Yes | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 47c | 21.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 54c | 20.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed No | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 51c | 20.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 74c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will Vålerenga Fotball vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.