TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf95d…2ebd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.8
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Dbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.27
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Aurora Young Blood (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Bbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.74
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs 2007 (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group Cbacked 2007 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$23.03
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.08
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Omega (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group Bbacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.22
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Walczaki (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$13.72
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$65.72
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs ASTRAL (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagebacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$19.24
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series#3 Group Dbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.33
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group Bbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Inner Circle Esports (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group Abacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.18
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.24
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.4
Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stagebacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Project 91 (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series#3 Group Bbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$120.96
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$133.74
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Tricked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$14.35
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stagebacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$11.79
Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stagebacked ex-KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$88.2
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$18.9
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.25
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$71.57
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Vitality.Bee (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.99
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$61.5
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.65
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.26
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$147.42
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.8
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$98.42
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.3
World Championships: Slovenia vs. Italybacked Slovenia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$72.43
World Championships: Italy vs. Norwaybacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$166.99
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$296
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$691Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$358.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$53.17
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$557Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$185.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$29.57
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$12.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$103.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$472
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.