TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Phantomof Lavked, Phantom
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$183,743
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$196,199

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,743 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9770…0ff5backed Phantom45c11,685$5,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,385.268043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Lavked59c7,647$4,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,534.6923249.1%114 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Phantom45c7,194$3,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,964.6166851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Phantom45c5,786$2,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,182.2618550.8%94 W · 91 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa40…9e37backed Lavked53c4,984$2,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,631.294440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Phantom46c4,656$2,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.743,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8e…ce7dbacked Lavked52c4,365$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.974173.2%30 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Lavked55c3,250$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.961,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed Lavked58c2,800$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,628.564058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Lavked38c2,756$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.591,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Lavked59c2,754$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.9792456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Lavked37c2,602$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.512,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d5a…9ed6backed Lavked59c2,558$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005362.3%33 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Phantom46c2,515$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.772,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Phantom45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.160248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom51c2,075$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.456,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Phantom43c1,969$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12763541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Phantom61c1,951$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.152,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lavked2c1,824$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.32,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Phantom46c1,694$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.0322750.2%114 W · 113 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Phantom35c1,633$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.9560848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked65c1,616$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.047,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x483a…01d6backed Lavked55c1,572$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.4220349.3%100 W · 103 L-12.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Phantom44c1,550$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.1584958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed Lavked58c1,428$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.2324746.2%114 W · 133 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Lavked55c1,333$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.0245465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa943…bcbebacked Lavked56c1,322$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.261643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-35.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Lavked42c1,257$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53291743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Phantom65c1,249$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.721,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Lavked55c1,233$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67828943.6%126 W · 163 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Lavked55c1,200$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9994645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked Lavked42c1,150$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48022257.2%127 W · 95 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Phantom32c1,100$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.9957641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Lavked54c1,096$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.7629340.6%119 W · 174 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b50…1db2backed Lavked55c1,089$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.785950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Phantom46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.9629449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Lavked3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3042427.1%115 W · 309 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Lavked54c999.98$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9939245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aae…0da3backed Lavked55c999.97$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9914255.6%79 W · 63 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Lavked55c954.99$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.2421744.7%97 W · 120 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Phantom62c943.58$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.594,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Lavked54c891.06$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.543461.8%21 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…5c4cbacked Lavked53c879.87$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.9413350.4%67 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed Lavked56c830.37$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.0128960.6%175 W · 114 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7974…5ddcbacked Lavked55c818.18$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+142.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Lavked39c764.3$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.494,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed Lavked55c762.46$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.5422044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Lavked38c721.69$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.164046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Lavked26c680.92$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.6478043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa304…0b05backed Lavked55c659.28$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Lavked55c657.09$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.423732.9%78 W · 159 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed Lavked12c650.79$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8027831.7%88 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Phantom78c634.53$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.715,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lavked55c627.96$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.3180942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b24…ba5cbacked Lavked56c627.79$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.893461.8%21 W · 13 L+6.1wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+41.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6013…9826backed Lavked60c622.68$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.5611863.6%75 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Lavked54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32410653.8%57 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Lavked44c599.99$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26432346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Lavked51c581.29$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.4648562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b7…1454backed Phantom55c546.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.5414743.5%64 W · 83 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb1…0787backed Lavked49c500$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Lavked80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40078963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed Lavked57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28530155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lavked14c480.59$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.791,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Phantom42c478.39$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.813,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7f…3543backed Phantom25c465.78$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.65580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+89.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Lavked55c460$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Phantom45c450.85$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.9613049.2%64 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2831…8fabbacked Lavked53c430.19$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2281361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf1…09b7backed Lavked54c417.44$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22711140.5%45 W · 66 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Phantom45c411.75$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6627552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb12…6a81backed Lavked55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2208548.2%41 W · 44 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Phantom45c399.89$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9461154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca2…5d25backed Lavked57c395.03$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.4117759.9%106 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6955…867abacked Lavked57c394.63$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.944854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Lavked54c388.47$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.419342.5%82 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c4c…9f95backed Phantom55c387.98$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.5914242.3%60 W · 82 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Lavked55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20052456.3%295 W · 229 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Phantom41c360$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.837736.4%28 W · 49 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked Lavked56c358.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019147.1%90 W · 101 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Lavked57c343.8$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9614257%81 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb146…4002backed Lavked55c336.36$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked Lavked47c333.67$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.1836440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2407…7dcabacked Phantom35c327.31$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.23666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed Lavked56c300$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16718754%101 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Lavked54c291.67$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.51,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52e5…60babacked Lavked69c291.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006965.2%45 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Lavked55c283.17$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.7438739.5%153 W · 234 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Phantom46c275.86$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8629052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Lavked56c273.61$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2227549.5%136 W · 139 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Lavked40c270$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.958254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Phantom65c252$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf301…4ce1backed Lavked48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205543.6%24 W · 31 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Lavked63c250$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.520462.7%128 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71a4…f92ebacked Lavked58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1454334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked Lavked39c250$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.53537.1%13 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-43.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Lavked54c249.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.991,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Phantom54c249.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1151,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Lavked77c249.99$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4911758.1%68 W · 49 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Lavked20c249.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.092,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.