CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc74b729017d1d23ff6579dc38455272bed60eb73006778e297803f92f1a2de3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Lavked, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Lavked | 44c | 19,533$8,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,938.57 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Phantom | 54c | 11,911$6,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,471.16 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Phantom | 56c | 4,080$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.8 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Phantom | 56c | 2,188$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.28 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Phantom | 54c | 1,708$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.36 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Phantom | 17c | 985.57$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.81 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Lavked | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked | 64c | 656.52$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.12 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Phantom | 52c | 564.02$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.59 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Phantom | 24c | 250$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff2…8ea1backed Lavked | 64c | 218.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.87 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…fa0cbacked Lavked | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lavked | 54c | 183$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.63 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Lavked | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Phantom | 45c | 181.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Phantom | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Lavked | 53c | 165.69$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.69 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Lavked | 66c | 150.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…60f7backed Phantom | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 22.9%19 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…2b16backed Lavked | 55c | 130.72$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Phantom | 11c | 126.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…48dabacked Lavked | 50c | 122.81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Phantom | 35c | 122.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Lavked | 45c | 111.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Phantom | 40c | 110.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Phantom | 50c | 100.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lavked | 53c | 95.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Phantom | 51c | 90.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Lavked | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 56c | 86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed Lavked | 65c | 85.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed Lavked | 77c | 71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…49e4backed Phantom | 45c | 68.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Lavked | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d2…a07abacked Phantom | 45c | 62.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lavked | 50c | 58.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Lavked | 68c | 58.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Phantom | 47c | 51.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Phantom | 61c | 49.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a06…71c8backed Phantom | 42c | 47.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Phantom | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Phantom | 56c | 36.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…a9a4backed Lavked | 65c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…438abacked Phantom | 47c | 31.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…3893backed Phantom | 47c | 31.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…17aabacked Phantom | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…6354backed Lavked | 58c | 23.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Lavked | 58c | 23.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…cd51backed Phantom | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Phantom | 54c | 18.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Lavked | 62c | 16.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group StagePhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom - Map 2 WinnerPhantom won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)Phantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.