CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03b0a58d3d64875048b1de6bd332f8983b929a3bfaee44adde658a710366585a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Lavked, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Phantom | 64c | 3,519$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.95 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lavked | 38c | 3,077$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.59 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Phantom | 57c | 1,455$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.46 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Lavked | 46c | 759.38$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.77 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lavked | 36c | 711.77$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.06 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…ec56backed Lavked | 58c | 637.91$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lavked | 48c | 437$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.86 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Phantom | 59c | 434.81$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.05 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Phantom | 42c | 427.16$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.75 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Lavked | 35c | 362.51$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.4 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked | 37c | 353.27$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lavked | 42c | 324.9$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Lavked | 51c | 287.61$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.49 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phantom | 64c | 267.27$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.22 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked Lavked | 48c | 211$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed Phantom | 51c | 189.94$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.23 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Lavked | 50c | 176$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…fa0cbacked Lavked | 57c | 175.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Phantom | 46c | 149.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9b…36f9backed Lavked | 55c | 120.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Phantom | 46c | 118.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Phantom | 64c | 115.92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Lavked | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Lavked | 46c | 109.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Lavked | 54c | 106.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Phantom | 47c | 103.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Phantom | 47c | 97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | -23.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f793backed Lavked | 45c | 96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Lavked | 51c | 95.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Phantom | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Lavked | 52c | 86.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Phantom | 44c | 86.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Phantom | 48c | 69.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lavked | 37c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lavked | 32c | 50.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…17aabacked Lavked | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lavked | 32c | 46.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x358c…f382backed Lavked | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lavked | 29c | 35.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Lavked | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Phantom | 41c | 31.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 821 | 42.5%349 W · 472 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Lavked | 59c | 31.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Phantom | 50c | 30.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Phantom | 41c | 27.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Lavked | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Phantom | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Phantom | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group StagePhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)Phantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.