TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc2d7…2b16

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 62 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$52.25
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.56
1H Spread: Bulls (-3.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.86
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$133.87
Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$97.78
Raptors vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 112.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.28
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.62
Ty Jerome: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$75.25
Knicks vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 112.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.36
Hornets vs. Suns: 1H Moneylinebacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$199.19
Royce O'Neale: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$47.47
Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$105.38
Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.98
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$84.86
1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20.83
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+75.4%+$19.86
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30.27
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Southern Tigers vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$56.69
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+100%+$28.59
Spread: VCU Rams (-5.5)backed George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$143.75
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies (W)backed Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$24.25
Spread: Campbell Fighting Camels (-3.5)backed Campbell Fighting Camels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.54
Spread: Northwestern State Demons (-1.5)backed Northwestern State Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$12.22
Navy Midshipmen vs. Colgate Raiders: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$21.52
Spread: VCU Rams (-12.5)backed VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$122.89
Spread: Arizona State Sun Devils (-2.5)backed Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$186.86
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Chicago State Cougarsbacked Chicago State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+69.5%+$54.32
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+128.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$133.16
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 165.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$17.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$52.11
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$29.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Valencia (-11.5)backed Bilbao Basket · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$42.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$53.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom - Map 1 Winnerbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$58.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Drake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.