Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Twente '65 vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c9b380314146224f9ed14f0c0de9acdce9e22ebc11c02f32fe319d63930ef42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e37…cfbdbacked No | 44c | 267.61$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 42c | 174.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 667 | 47.8%319 W · 348 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 132.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 2,696 | 35.6%961 W · 1,735 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 41c | 125.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 104.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 57c | 104.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 42c | 103.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 59c | 102.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 58c | 101.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 41c | 78.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 55c | 72.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…687ebacked Yes | 56c | 67.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…b654backed Yes | 56c | 67.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…2b16backed Yes | 56c | 66.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…50a5backed Yes | 56c | 66.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked No | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 45.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 2,588 | 52.1%1,348 W · 1,240 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 38.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 5,655 | 42%2,376 W · 3,279 L | +75.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 55c | 33.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 2,361 | 46.8%1,106 W · 1,255 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…a408backed Yes | 57c | 30.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked No | 44c | 27.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Yes | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 59c | 17.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Groningen: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.