Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Twente '65 vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15d057278b9fb9893cfe44d3c779631a3a1bd24ce3fdb15e4eca517eb0b9e66f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.4 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 34c | 2,011$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.58 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 66c | 1,518$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.79 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 1,247$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.49 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 1,105$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.5 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 561.04$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.52 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 64c | 390$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 375.07$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.18 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Under | 37c | 320$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Over | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 299.84$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.36 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 66c | 257.58$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 236.53$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 59c | 169$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 58c | 164.41$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 99.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b56…b99abacked Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 49c | 45.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Under | 51c | 39.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7654backed Over | 66c | 37.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 40c | 32.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e6…6fd5backed Over | 60c | 22.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Groningen: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.