Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Twente '65 vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78fa5fefb3e3f595bb4c251df1f4f401f41b7f9ba202eba7857dfb4b1e9ed5ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 30c | 10,000$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.89 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 6,923$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.72 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 4,750$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.81 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Over | 56c | 618.82$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.54 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 44c | 573.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 57c | 493.16$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.06 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 38c | 468.55$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 58c | 440.18$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.7 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Under | 64c | 328.47$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Under | 61c | 326.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.92 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 307.34$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.65 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 38c | 201.05$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Under | 54c | 107.89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 31c | 100.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Under | 66c | 75.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under | 65c | 72.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 66c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Over | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c9…a149backed Over | 51c | 60.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9c…5ea0backed Over | 80c | 59.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 66c | 50.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 67c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…27d6backed Under | 46c | 37.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 39c | 33.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 61c | 32.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 64c | 22.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 66c | 17.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 73c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 80c | 15.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Groningen: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.