TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f33…0d47

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
204
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Premier League, grading 71 out of 100 (+0.19 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 71 out of 100; worst Australian A League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT3348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kayserispor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$33.19
Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+113.9%+$19.4
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+124.2%+$103.49
FC Volendam vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.29
NEC vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+257.1%+$64.22
CD Nacional vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.99
Heracles Almelo vs. PSV: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$35.93
Galatasaray SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$14.82
Livingston FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$37.46
Motherwell FC vs. Dundee United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$43.44
Motherwell FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$37.85
Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$39.75
Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$26.34
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+51.5%+$14.96
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$99.97
Will AZ win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+145.6%+$85.86
Livingston FC vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$15.84
Silkeborg IF vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+95.2%+$31.11
AZ vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.92
Will Randers FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+127.3%+$16.66
Gaziantep FK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$90.38
Randers FC vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$47.85
FC Twente '65 vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.31
Will NEC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$99.97
AFC Ajax vs. NEC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$99.96
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT2878.6%22 W · 6 L+9.9wins+0.35per pick43cpaid+108.5%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
Premier League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Leicester City FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.63
Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+173.9%+$75.26
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+354.5%+$117.15
Will Coventry City FC vs. Stoke City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+376.2%+$41.95
Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.1%+$34.35
Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+187.3%+$107.9
Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36.34
Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$41.03
Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.32
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+109%+$19.09
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+128.6%+$56.25
Southampton FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+270.4%+$35.77
Southampton FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+106.9%+$40.35
Wrexham AFC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+147.6%+$88.83
Hull City AFC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+98.8%+$38.6
Hull City AFC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$9.55
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+172.8%+$109.94
Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+189.1%+$83.85
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$36.97
Watford FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.39
Norwich City FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+614.3%+$153.56
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+157%+$54.93
Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.64
Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
Avispa Fukuoka vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+194.1%+$47.4
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$45.36
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$170.3
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.07
NEOM SC vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20.82
NEOM SC vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$38.22
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$13.52
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$46.08
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+46.2%+$11.11
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25.29
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$49.99
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$23.76
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+214.8%+$78.54
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+271.7%+$127.34
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+286.5%+$297.39
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+113.4%+$71.1
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$32.14
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1994.7%18 W · 1 L+7.9wins+0.42per pick53cpaid+99.5%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+311.3%+$57.69
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$22.41
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+132.6%+$40.83
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.74
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+104.6%+$61.9
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+32.6%+$22.55
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.42
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+67.6%+$67.55
Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+64.9%+$15.31
Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.74
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+48.6%+$21.31
Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+258.4%+$134.1
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+134.9%+$20.84
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+85.1%+$37.12
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+190.5%+$100.85
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+81.8%+$46.63
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$96.59
AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+194.1%+$97.02
AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$9.52
All 19 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1978.9%15 W · 4 L+6.3wins+0.33per pick46cpaid+74.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+214.1%+$58.76
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+90.8%+$181.51
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$41.48
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$150.88
Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+239.2%+$46.33
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$30.98
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+157.2%+$15.77
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.32
SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$14.15
SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.32
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$36.31
RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+198.3%+$38.69
RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+81.2%+$9.85
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$15.36
FC Bayern München vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+78.2%+$57.41
SV Darmstadt 98 vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15.58
SV Darmstadt 98 vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+112.8%+$11.82
SV 07 Elversberg vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+142.5%+$21.87
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$199.95
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.49
Levante UD vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+67.1%+$66.94
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Córdoba CF vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+147.3%+$128.65
Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+115.3%+$18.75
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$56
CD Castellón vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.32
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.63
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.25
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. SD Eibar: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20.82
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$75.64
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$60.82
Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+81.8%+$42.84
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$49.44
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+53.8%+$15.75
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.72
All 19 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick44cpaid+78%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
CA Tigre vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.64
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+120.1%+$14.58
CF América vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+270.4%+$67.48
CA Huracán vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+177.8%+$46.25
CA Huracán vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+64.5%+$65.49
FC Juárez vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8.32
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$49.99
Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+525%+$77.75
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$99.97
Atlas FC vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+138.1%+$34.51
Atlas FC vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+55.1%+$61.17
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+119.9%+$12.72
O'Higgins FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$49.98
CD Riestra vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+138.1%+$138.04
CD Riestra vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$41.16
All 16 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis City SC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$49.88
Charlotte FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+222.6%+$55.29
Atlanta United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+376.2%+$93.45
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$47.5
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$24.99
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.48
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+143.9%+$35.93
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.1
Portland Timbers vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$23.04
San Diego FC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.01
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24.98
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.83
Houston Dynamo vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+212.5%+$26.52
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24.97
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+67%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$24.98
KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+26.5%+$25.81
KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+300%+$75
ACF Fiorentina vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18.62
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$33.33
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+354.5%+$182.83
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23.07
Celtic FC vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+50.8%+$23.49
SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$99.98
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+270.4%+$135.12
PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.03
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+91.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.61
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+208.6%+$41.45
Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+270.8%+$113.13
Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$34.94
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$60.92
OGC Nice vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+144.2%+$43.74
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$14.97
Will Toulouse FC vs. Paris FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+352.9%+$42.81
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Lecce vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.35
Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$18.87
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+311.3%+$37.09
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.95
Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.08
Genoa CFC vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.7%+$34.7
US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$31.81
AC Milan vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$125.18
AC Milan vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+57%+$55.81
All 9 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-46.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.