TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$438,240
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$459,310

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,240 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under54c169,780$91,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,929.612951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2379…bf16backed Over45c160,784$72,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,453.091163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Over46c123,494$56,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,686.673941%16 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c62,766$33,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,855.561,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under54c42,500$23,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,05028543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over46c40,000$18,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,6008258.5%48 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+36.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under55c25,586$13,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,984.4158248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Over46c16,142$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,642.221637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over46c15,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,10018160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under55c13,440$7,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,3924447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40010742.1%45 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Under55c9,091$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Under54c8,500$4,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5906451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under54c8,201$4,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,443.6538748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under42c5,875$2,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,484.531,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under54c5,505$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007145.1%32 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e99…e794backed Under55c4,200$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,31020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Under55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-73.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16019755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Under56c3,416$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9101421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.5wins-0.32per pick53cpaid-58.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under8c3,071$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9921938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8758…01e0backed Under55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-69.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under55c2,500$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3752860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Under55c2,300$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Over46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.911968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+52.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Under55c2,040$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1221855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under43c1,720$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.1716036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under15c1,420$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.7939743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over45c1,200$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb29…e532backed Under36c1,111$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a43…1405backed Under59c1,065$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+146.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Under55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5508740.2%35 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under54c836.09$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.4929746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under21c831.9$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.935042%21 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Over68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.294759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Under55c700$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3851442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under17c696.56$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.143427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over64c599.5$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.8220655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over45c554.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.25230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Under56c549.97$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.485653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1e2…e5d2backed Under19c523.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27013644.1%60 W · 76 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27020644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Under54c499.98$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.995036%18 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under55c489$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.9529350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Under48c477.24$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Over44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under33c403.72$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.746048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Under58c350$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20360%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over46c326.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.094351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick42cpaid-53.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3762…b1c3backed Over80c280$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.560748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1c6…0f98backed Under8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over46c244$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.765123.5%12 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over46c234.8$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.79425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Under55c230.16$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.61850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under55c224$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-71%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under55c218.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.393745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1108043.8%35 W · 45 L+11.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+60.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11014645.2%66 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Under59c197.8$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.654037.5%15 W · 25 L-6.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under58c185$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.212344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under55c164.84$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.662944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under55c162.57$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4111650%58 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.54139%16 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over43c150$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.53756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Under57c149.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.499150.5%46 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under55c149.09$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828555.3%47 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Under59c145.76$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x672a…abb7backed Under55c145.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Under55c144.64$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.34per pick45cpaid-80.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over43c140$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.82128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf532…03acbacked Over80c140$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Under57c139.97$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.789547.4%45 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d04…d4d9backed Over46c130.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.44742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under55c124.98$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.745955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under55c123.38$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.868149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2810339.8%41 W · 62 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over48c106.55$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.726950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under55c104.44$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.441844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c7e…d934backed Under58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603650%18 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549652.1%50 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb226…e227backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98e2…658bbacked Under21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under55c93.6$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.483056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over46c93.48$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.033953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Under55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506040%24 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Under55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014642.5%62 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Under55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.093351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under55c90.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.625362.3%33 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2949…4cc8backed Over68c88.46$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.311258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over44c82.05$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.057667.1%51 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under54c81.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe5a…ce38backed Under55c79.24$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under19c77.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1917053.5%91 W · 79 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under55c71.54$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1717045.9%78 W · 92 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.