TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c7e…d934

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 56 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3650%18 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$32.44
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+194.1%+$97.06
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$27.5
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+233.3%+$70
AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+75.4%+$21.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+44.9%+$18.6
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+92.3%+$24
Liverpool FC vs. PSV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.03
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$51.2
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$81
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+120.2%+$84.17
SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+194.1%+$38.82
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will RB Leipzig vs. Werder Bremen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+122.2%+$22
Will 1. FC Köln vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+143.9%+$29.5
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+127.3%+$28
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$25.5
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$27.5
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+270.4%+$54.07
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+222.6%+$111.29
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+250.9%+$376.32
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$23.96
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$72.63
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+733.3%+$88
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$44.4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+194.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$21.5
Democratic sweep?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.