Venezuela · resolved market
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59a8e78aaa3ddce1973c2fa07fd8f534ba7c7b8717e55968b406cc7503ab998b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 52c | 11,903$6,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,655.02 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 47c | 8,961$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,179.92 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 68c | 5,761$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900.2 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked No | 49c | 5,575$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,864.26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…af58backed No | 29c | 5,369$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,797.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77a4…c84fbacked Yes | 40c | 4,095$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5893…6835backed No | 56c | 3,814$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +78%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 31c | 3,329$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.07 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…bb74backed Yes | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed Yes | 67c | 2,513$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 28c | 2,288$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.42 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 2,090$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.84 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…b71bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,864$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,699$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…b886backed No | 57c | 1,690$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.57 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +8.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…8669backed Yes | 14c | 1,600$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked No | 75c | 1,582$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,527$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.09 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…d300backed No | 67c | 1,192$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2b…8fa0backed No | 53c | 1,128$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 2c | 1,096$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 37c | 1,068$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.27 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…621abacked No | 75c | 1,034$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf839…33c5backed No | 28c | 939.06$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 52c | 899.98$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.99 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6429…33fcbacked No | 76c | 856.51$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe047…e509backed No | 71c | 807.24$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 61c | 760.64$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.56 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…e89ebacked No | 29c | 756.26$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +209.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…b412backed Yes | 76c | 742.98$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 3c | 733.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 3c | 699.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 68c | 679.34$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.75 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6039…03a0backed No | 24c | 614.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 21cpaid | +227%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c87…fce0backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Yes | 11c | 546.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 4c | 544.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0c…fb96backed No | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Yes | 33c | 497.5$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -59%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 20c | 484.72$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x111d…85f7backed No | 38c | 473.68$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…b5bfbacked No | 23c | 454.57$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +199.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad7b…63dabacked No | 52c | 436.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…f2ecbacked No | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +235.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…f47dbacked No | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 52c | 392.63$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.47 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…f21dbacked No | 58c | 385.51$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed Yes | 73c | 377.32$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae0…910cbacked No | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7143…2c75backed Yes | 66c | 369.12$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +226.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…dbb9backed No | 61c | 361.01$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.05 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 20c | 349.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f31…9e9dbacked No | 71c | 335.91$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5602…acc9backed No | 31c | 317.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a8fdbacked Yes | 74c | 314.45$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 38c | 300$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…1ed3backed Yes | 20c | 300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3a…4580backed No | 37c | 295$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 61c | 286.82$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.05 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed No | 25c | 281$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +149.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xded6…682abacked No | 38c | 265.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +165.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 7c | 261.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 30cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…bdb2backed No | 44c | 260$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…b498backed No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…eda2backed Yes | 33c | 255.63$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 74c | 250.5$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696f…254dbacked No | 54c | 240$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…bc81backed No | 23c | 237.54$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.64 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed No | 71c | 236.37$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed No | 24c | 236.24$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be3…afa3backed Yes | 78c | 234.76$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b31…5768backed No | 68c | 234.35$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3668…7f62backed No | 25c | 230$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +307.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked No | 36c | 225$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f3…05a3backed No | 45c | 222.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 76c | 220$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…fdb3backed Yes | 14c | 205.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7d…348cbacked No | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…4b6ebacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed No | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.66 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…da4abacked No | 67c | 199.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e4…3342backed Yes | 33c | 197.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 28c | 188.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a5…fe83backed Yes | 11c | 180.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 43c | 178.93$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 30c | 168.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38d…5895backed Yes | 30c | 164.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c4…7d1dbacked No | 34c | 164.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…89d5backed No | 64c | 156.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…039bbacked No | 73c | 154.97$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c41…8ca1backed Yes | 74c | 152.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…12f8backed Yes | 75c | 151$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c2…d51cbacked No | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35e…1716backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2224…23e1backed No | 22c | 140.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 74c | 139$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?this page
- Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?No won
- Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.