TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8063…b886

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 66 out of 100 (+0.14 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 66 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST3360.6%20 W · 13 L+8.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+83.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be five or six announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$31.2
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$307.91
Will there be three or four announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will there be one or two announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$642Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+187.4%+$1,203.16
Will there be five or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.2%+$19.33
Will there be exactly one announced new U.S. armed forces strike against drug boats in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$364.44
Will there be exactly three announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$199.04
Will there be zero announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+108.3%+$568.64
Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+115.1%+$303.38
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$43.94
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,525Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+151.1%+$6,837.99
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40.07
Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement by Dec 31 on Friday over 20%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+558.8%+$201.39
Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+453.9%+$992.46
Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+70%+$90.26
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$21.32
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+53.3%+$531.58
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$18.06
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$963Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+75.4%+$726.57
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,430Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+55.6%+$795.1
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+31.6%+$72
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+833.2%+$2,265.92
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+47%+$135.47
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+67.4%+$171.07
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1668.8%11 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.28per pick41cpaid+188.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+525%+$52.5
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+284.6%+$73.99
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+334.8%+$76.99
US strikes Yemen by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+1,718.2%+$184.17
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$210.86
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,061.95
US strike on Syria by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11,065.04
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+177.8%+$64
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+122.8%+$527.24
US strike on Syria by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+127.2%+$114.03
Will Trump say "Muslim" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+51.5%+$5.78
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.14
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.18
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on September 30 ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+49.9%+$44.42
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.5
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$135.03
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Iraq to score first vs. Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$70.51
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+80%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,968Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+74%+$5,157.77
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on November 21 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$36.03
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 21 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+733.3%+$176
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$378.87
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$275.82
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$202
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+332.6%+$66.52
All 8 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+54.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+143.9%+$86.34
Flyers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$264
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+118.5%+$21.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$20.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.