Venezuela · resolved market
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcec237472a153c3fa15cff4527ebdf348ae035e00fa956f1b6ae2fbefc7240b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc012…6180backed No | 36c | 11,236$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd5…ce6bbacked Yes | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…5251backed No | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 14c | 6,767$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.38 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 45c | 5,801$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,163.22 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b51…5868backed No | 0c | 5,736$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 74c | 5,666$4,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.8 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 26c | 2,787$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.2 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…ab99backed No | 46c | 2,754$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 37c | 2,000$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.3 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 77c | 1,797$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…56d5backed No | 23c | 1,759$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed Yes | 52c | 1,561$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 48c | 1,510$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.62 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf563…a5b4backed No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b6…8d65backed No | 77c | 1,489$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Yes | 28c | 1,410$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.93 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 20c | 1,340$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d68…402cbacked No | 65c | 1,272$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…6549backed No | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 14c | 1,244$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.62 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x010c…6134backed No | 5c | 1,234$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked No | 19c | 1,212$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed No | 17c | 1,186$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…9f1dbacked No | 33c | 1,183$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…b3f6backed No | 57c | 1,165$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 15c | 1,066$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 32c | 1,033$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.45 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 70c | 1,032$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed Yes | 78c | 1,024$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed No | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 17c | 940$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 78c | 932.75$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.68 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…13febacked No | 22c | 926.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 912.12$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.33 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed No | 15c | 877.5$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…4da1backed No | 24c | 843.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd486…2287backed Yes | 29c | 819.8$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 76c | 785.78$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.51 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 50cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…2da0backed No | 43c | 777.4$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed Yes | 79c | 750$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 46c | 749.98$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.99 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Yes | 60c | 722.78$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…cdaabacked No | 66c | 706.12$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 76c | 700.87$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.42 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 76c | 697.87$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.78 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked No | 41c | 651.68$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 50c | 643.18$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.9 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x840f…48e4backed No | 30c | 640$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 51c | 623.85$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.85 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 34c | 599.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 69c | 598.51$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.41 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a4…1c0abacked Yes | 54c | 561.02$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 38c | 560.63$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa123…927ebacked No | 74c | 555$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd2…943bbacked No | 2c | 529.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fd…9f9fbacked Yes | 58c | 521.94$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…2ed0backed No | 38c | 509.97$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…bb12backed Yes | 24c | 499.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…bb74backed Yes | 58c | 499.97$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…bedbbacked No | 41c | 490.95$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f0…5991backed No | 18c | 468.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…c3dfbacked No | 15c | 450$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb13…986abacked No | 15c | 440.24$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcd…9293backed No | 23c | 439.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…b13abacked No | 23c | 430.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 49c | 427.14$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.86 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…b886backed Yes | 60c | 424.97$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.07 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +8.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…35e5backed No | 17c | 388.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 42c | 373.44$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.84 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…0b89backed No | 44c | 366.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…612ebacked No | 13c | 339.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…5da2backed No | 23c | 336.35$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x992f…c9edbacked No | 43c | 317.88$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…4d1fbacked No | 42c | 307.41$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…abc6backed No | 28c | 307.38$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 36c | 300.59$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1c…92adbacked Yes | 35c | 300$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…1773backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 34c | 299.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6556…8647backed No | 73c | 294.66$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e1…ab0fbacked No | 70c | 286.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked No | 74c | 268.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f82…5716backed No | 60c | 268.78$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63e…1b97backed No | 75c | 267.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…79f4backed No | 77c | 260.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…b444backed No | 31c | 258.53$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…96c0backed No | 21c | 256.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked No | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked No | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…faabbacked No | 65c | 243.25$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33b…2372backed No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 40c | 231.16$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.47 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef5…5380backed Yes | 61c | 229.6$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed No | 26c | 226.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 55c | 225.67$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.55 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…ab3abacked No | 58c | 225.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…b412backed Yes | 26c | 219.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6948…136cbacked Yes | 56c | 218.82$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?this page
- Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 18?Yes won
- Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.