TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4b74…e8d7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
390
Categories scored
43
Categories below 50
21

Best Category: Tweets, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 60 out of 100; worst NFL at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT7252.8%38 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,459.28
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$629.16
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,067.56
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$12.75
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$302.4
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$906Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$301.95
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.75
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$78.11
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.02
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$12.75
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$955.1
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,901Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,901.28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,072Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+85%+$911.16
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,977Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,977.36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,264Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$1,665.18
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$641Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$641.24
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$9,624Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,623.62
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+109.2%+$1,304.99
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,266Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$497.66
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$5,098Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$1,302
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$808Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$807.72
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.66
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3969.2%27 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.49
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$57.5
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,269Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+37.6%+$1,228.54
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,528Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+32.2%+$814.58
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18,905Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18,905.04
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+75.5%+$90.41
Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+75.8%+$166.67
Will Reid Hoffman be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+59%+$77.41
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$172.12
Will Larry Page be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+67.4%+$123.44
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+61.3%+$10
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+25%+$50
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+149.3%+$339.54
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,976Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,976.31
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+39%+$33.7
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.85
Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.26
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$126.4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+36.2%+$46.52
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$39
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$33
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+25.1%+$82.06
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+105.4%+$297.35
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$431.61
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,131Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,130.97
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.39
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,181Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$303.09
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$126.35
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+735.6%+$459.64
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$805Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$246.74
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$36.45
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$31.62
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$784Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+80.3%+$629.88
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$954Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25%+$238.45
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.8%+$26.39
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$321.81
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$112.5
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$139.91
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$897Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.1%+$359.35
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+38.9%+$210.05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+31%+$355
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+27.7%+$38
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$100
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$437.25
Will Apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.45
Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+30.2%+$39.15
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+30.1%+$79.23
All 24 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-0.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.68
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$66.53
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$8,933Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$2,758.24
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.08
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.56
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.5
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$48.4
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,392Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30%+$717.15
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$30
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+51.5%+$68
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$2,163.01
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+572.2%+$2,131.66
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,258Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+33.7%+$424.31
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.5
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,431Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,430.97
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$21.75
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$9
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+31.5%+$196.35
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$999.55
Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.53
Will Josh Gottheimer win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.71
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT2185.7%18 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+42.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Tweets — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$106.2
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$21.99
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+50.5%+$92.33
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+42.5%+$5.96
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+58.1%+$294
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+57.5%+$66.25
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$34.16
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 22–August 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$81.4
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$167.83
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+73.5%+$222.44
Will Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+37.9%+$74.63
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$125.8
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,071Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,070.97
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$287.99
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$42.07
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$703Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$287.09
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+32%+$372.33
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+37.9%+$41.82
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 11–18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$72.6
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$954Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$953.93
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+396.2%+$283.41
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$90.52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$834.88
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+36.5%+$194.36
U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$315.48
Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.8%+$87.03
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.8%+$132.75
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+41.8%+$87.62
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$195.03
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,426Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,426.01
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,573Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+35.7%+$917.73
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by September 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$29.7
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$97.35
Will Russia capture Udachne by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$48
Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$38.5
Trump x Putin talk before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+91.2%+$17.11
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.8
All 17 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-54.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.65
Will Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$52.67
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.91
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.91
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$565
Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$151.8
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$359.99
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,708Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$2,708.45
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$831Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+46%+$381.99
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61.3%+$102.75
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$66.1
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$404.21
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$5,038.48
Pump.fun market cap (FDV) $6-8B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$17.4
All 16 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick69cpaid-34.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $70 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$50.71
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$94.9
Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$230.4
Will Solana reach $220 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$294.35
Will XRP reach $4.00 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,017Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+32%+$644.64
Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,276Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,275.92
Will Bitcoin dip to $111K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+55.6%+$178.39
Ethereum all time high by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+43.9%+$100.65
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,107.3
Will Solana reach $195 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+46.6%+$198.6
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$236.43
Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$160.65
Will Solana reach $170 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+44.8%+$176.42
Will XRP reach $2.9 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$128
Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+25%+$60
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$259.99
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$24.97
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$25.75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$155.25
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$55.2
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$223.08
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$9,305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,305.43
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.2%+$108.09
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.35per pick62cpaid-57.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$82.58
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 37.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$270.13
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+54.5%+$93.51
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$185.35
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$107
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$652Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.8%+$233.59
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$69
Broncos vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,581Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,580.53
Giants vs. Saintsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$664.94
49ers vs. Ramsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+74.9%+$497.73
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$62.2
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.5
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,139.77
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42.9%+$43.2
Will Max Mayfield die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+41.6%+$29.4
Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+49.4%+$43.87
Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42%+$14.27
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+60.9%+$367.96
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,437Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+40.6%+$583.92
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,356Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+53.6%+$726.43
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$407.5
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$453
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$119.87
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$179.82
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$610
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$9.5
Guardians vs. Twinsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+100%+$12.5
Red Sox vs. Raysbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+95.4%+$12.29
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$13
Padres vs. White Soxbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$1,030.05
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,645Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,644.85
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$8,221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$8,220.88
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$581.45
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.7%+$59.89
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$156.56
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,983Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$4,983.48
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$143.83
Will Powell say "Goal" 15+ times during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+181.7%+$32.25
Will Powell say "Trump" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+53%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+55%+$38.34
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17,922Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$4,505.99
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$300
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+163.2%+$61.99
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$122.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$105
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,137Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+222.6%+$2,529.75
Will West Ham win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,599Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$579.48
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,582Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,581.67
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$183.69
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+100%+$499
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+68.1%+$10.13
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+80.7%+$186.71
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$333
All 9 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-46.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+48.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+84.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+407.6%+$1,698.85
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$7,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,599.78
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,310Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$9,690
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,701Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,701.12
All 5 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+38.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-50.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+132.6%+$57
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs Paper Rexbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.8
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esportsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$550
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England vs. India end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+70.4%+$322.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$955Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$545
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+51.9%+$123.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Greece win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+44.3%+$18.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xtreme Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+40.4%+$44.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+38.4%+$202.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,376Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$505.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$160.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MLS: Will Toronto beat San Diego?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$182.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.