Venezuela · resolved market
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a914a53d0c50e8e8466aa48204957360098ba333bb7e267859ac5d419d8c054
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 10c | 8,489$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.49 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 6c | 5,118$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.38 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…14adbacked Yes | 28c | 3,967$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1913…b494backed Yes | 50c | 3,923$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 47c | 3,318$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.62 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 22c | 3,208$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.98 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 78c | 2,829$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.88 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 2c | 2,555$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 14c | 2,500$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.88 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Yes | 2c | 2,492$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 28cpaid | +129.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…1ff5backed Yes | 6c | 2,400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…a070backed No | 71c | 2,370$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed No | 73c | 2,341$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.7 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 5c | 2,206$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.9 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…5e15backed Yes | 11c | 1,999$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,986$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.93 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa92d…4e71backed No | 64c | 1,865$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed No | 77c | 1,840$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.13 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 26c | 1,614$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…7cf1backed No | 73c | 1,598$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…0b69backed Yes | 14c | 1,570$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,559$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.79 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 27c | 1,457$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.62 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d38…219cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,419$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfd…4f13backed Yes | 38c | 1,388$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…bc81backed No | 79c | 1,368$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a45…c42dbacked No | 72c | 1,335$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -63%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 69c | 1,323$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79f…662ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,189$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 9c | 1,174$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f1…2dd9backed No | 75c | 1,159$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.66 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 25c | 1,115$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,100$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…f80fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,060$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…55cabacked Yes | 33c | 1,003$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a7…46c4backed Yes | 4c | 972.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95da…60b4backed Yes | 28c | 959.26$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 951.47$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.19 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8157…f6ebbacked No | 68c | 931$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 9c | 923.64$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.94 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 921.76$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…3d43backed Yes | 34c | 862.11$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed No | 64c | 800.47$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 7c | 800$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 24c | 800$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd30…b2d2backed Yes | 22c | 771.6$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 750$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 715.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…2868backed No | 76c | 707.8$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 701$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 17c | 699.96$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 13c | 692.56$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…9837backed Yes | 24c | 672.75$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…2ecabacked No | 74c | 670.27$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…76a0backed No | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2592…839abacked No | 60c | 599.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 13c | 547.47$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.17 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 4c | 500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Yes | 33c | 499.98$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 29c | 492.25$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.87 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 79c | 463.24$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 14c | 462.32$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 26c | 451.63$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.42 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 74c | 449.2$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…505ebacked No | 68c | 447.84$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x656f…d33bbacked No | 68c | 443.12$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 24c | 438.69$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.14 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…053ebacked Yes | 34c | 437.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 4c | 425.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 20c | 414.76$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 3c | 400.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 5c | 400$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 76c | 399$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.78 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…a76dbacked No | 72c | 390.92$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.56 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed No | 70c | 358.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 18c | 353.22$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea6…b249backed Yes | 32c | 351.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed No | 66c | 337.26$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7b…48e2backed Yes | 21c | 318.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7094…530abacked Yes | 28c | 318.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39d…b97fbacked Yes | 14c | 311.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 6c | 305.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5602…acc9backed No | 65c | 303.12$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 30c | 282.66$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 124 | 25.8%32 W · 92 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb7…1429backed No | 58c | 281.75$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…8fc2backed Yes | 40c | 275.85$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 4c | 272.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc77a…daf8backed Yes | 19c | 266.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 10c | 265.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c0…bd5dbacked Yes | 5c | 263.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…1409backed No | 71c | 257.25$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59cd…716fbacked No | 72c | 226.91$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 77c | 219.62$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 15c | 219.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked No | 78c | 216.83$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…ac87backed Yes | 22c | 209.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed No | 63c | 209$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?this page
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 23?No won
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?Yes won
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 31, 2026?Yes won
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?Yes won
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.