Venezuela · resolved market
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28b5b1883637df12933b75ca95c0449c934756ff322d9415043b25d2540b1dc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $428,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $388,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $428,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 546 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 49c | 14,757$7,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,292.36 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 49c | 12,388$6,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,020.33 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 72c | 11,618$8,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,390.49 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…09a8backed Yes | 71c | 10,504$7,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,415.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 58c | 6,878$4,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,011.8 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 39c | 6,055$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.23 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 34c | 4,743$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.41 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0295…b460backed No | 34c | 4,357$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,864.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +192%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 52c | 4,116$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 5c | 4,099$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,892.24 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed No | 66c | 3,974$2,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…bc81backed No | 65c | 3,654$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad0…cf31backed No | 6c | 3,353$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,525.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 3,257$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.94 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 13c | 3,228$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.4 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…eb6dbacked No | 57c | 3,205$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 33c | 3,081$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.31 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 27c | 2,975$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.36 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…72bebacked No | 51c | 2,952$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed No | 14c | 2,930$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.72 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 54c | 2,919$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.25 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 28c | 2,917$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.19 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 24c | 2,870$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.74 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 50c | 2,600$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 64c | 2,500$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd61…e592backed Yes | 34c | 2,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes | 52c | 2,500$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc6…7989backed No | 66c | 2,282$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 29c | 2,276$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.84 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66f1…2dd9backed No | 50c | 2,231$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.29 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 13c | 2,153$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.46 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 35c | 2,142$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.04 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 15c | 2,107$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.24 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed No | 6c | 2,086$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 4c | 2,086$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +395.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed No | 53c | 2,078$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked No | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 23c | 2,000$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 61c | 1,976$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.93 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…d300backed No | 7c | 1,942$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f5…b7e4backed Yes | 50c | 1,908$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 49c | 1,902$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.72 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed No | 50c | 1,891$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 78c | 1,858$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.32 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…b886backed No | 35c | 1,845$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.16 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +8.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…7a99backed No | 58c | 1,832$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 60c | 1,825$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.91 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed Yes | 70c | 1,820$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.02 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 39c | 1,800$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.41 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 33c | 1,800$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.4 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 29c | 1,786$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.7 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,781$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.61 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x607b…4012backed Yes | 17c | 1,706$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 66c | 1,602$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…cee7backed Yes | 30c | 1,578$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +209.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…5790backed Yes | 32c | 1,539$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…f80fbacked Yes | 48c | 1,530$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb7…411cbacked Yes | 70c | 1,506$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 38c | 1,500$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.42 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…d129backed No | 46c | 1,493$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cc…5a2cbacked Yes | 55c | 1,454$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68a…97b1backed No | 17c | 1,438$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +261.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb232…b555backed Yes | 14c | 1,419$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 27cpaid | +216.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,415$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.39 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2592…839abacked Yes | 36c | 1,362$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 19c | 1,350$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 12c | 1,332$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.16 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…64c0backed No | 6c | 1,262$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…5e15backed Yes | 68c | 1,250$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe247…d5aebacked No | 8c | 1,236$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,138.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 50c | 1,234$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.82 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d5…e846backed No | 79c | 1,233$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked No | 12c | 1,207$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…6c7cbacked No | 20c | 1,205$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +404.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 44c | 1,203$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…a777backed No | 31c | 1,194$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…e7e0backed No | 42c | 1,178$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 42c | 1,159$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.34 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9433…ca82backed No | 75c | 1,157$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a45…c42dbacked No | 63c | 1,143$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -63%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…0b69backed Yes | 71c | 1,097$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79f…662ebacked No | 50c | 1,069$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30d…0470backed No | 65c | 1,064$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…9f1cbacked Yes | 22c | 1,060$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 34c | 1,036$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.95 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed No | 48c | 1,031$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 47c | 1,005$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.27 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90c…0d37backed No | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf3…45a3backed No | 52c | 999.99$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed No | 58c | 999.15$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 28cpaid | +129.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed No | 32c | 986.74$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.97 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 14c | 948.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.08 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 55c | 930.47$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.86 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf0…fd08backed No | 6c | 923.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +246.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…9837backed No | 21c | 923.13$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 70c | 919.32$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.9 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked No | 27c | 914.21$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.73 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…527cbacked No | 41c | 908.27$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.99 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?this page
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 23?No won
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?No won
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?Yes won
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 31, 2026?Yes won
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.